Tarleton State vs Bowling Green Picks and Predictions for Saturday, September 5th, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 09/04/2026, 11:19 PM ET

Tarleton State vs Bowling Green Game Information

The Tarleton State Texans will be on the road for the first time this season Saturday afternoon for a noon matchup against the Bowling Green Falcons at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, Ohio. Tarleton State enters its second game of the year undefeated following a 49-30 victory over Prairie View A&M in its season opener. Bowling Green will open its 2026 campaign Saturday looking to improve on last year’s disappointing season. The Falcons finished 2025 with a 4-8 overall record despite ending the year with a 45-14 victory over Massachusetts. Stay in the news with our College Football Picks.

Tarleton State Preview

Offensively, Tarleton State was fantastic a week ago, scoring 49 points on 505 total yards. Defensively, Tarleton State did have some issues, giving up 30 points on 519 yards in the game. Kaden Anderson led the way for Tarleton State last week, completing 15 passes for 224 yards and 3 scores. Braedyn Locke added 5 completions for 50 yards and 1 touchdown. Tylan Hines led the way on the ground for the Texans last week with 184 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25 carries. Marquis Willis led the team with 102 yards and 2 scores on 5 receptions, and Tanner Schmidt added 63 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 grabs.

Bowling Green Preview

Bowling Green will have a new look this season, as Jay Kastantin is the projected starter on Saturday. Hunter Najm is also on the Bowling Green roster after completing 33 passes last season for 473 yards and 5 scores. Austyn Dendy returns as the leading running back from a year ago for Bowling Green after compiling 493 yards and 5 scores on 108 carries. Brennan Ridley is the top returning receiver for Bowling Green from a year ago after 110 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 grabs.

Tarleton State vs Bowling Green Pick

Tarleton State has enough experience and talent to give Bowling Green problems throughout this matchup. The Texans should be able to move the ball consistently and prevent the Falcons from establishing complete control at home. Look for Tarleton State to stay within striking distance before making the decisive plays late in the fourth quarter. Take the Texans to pull off the road upset Saturday.

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  • Pick: Tarleton State Texans +2.5
  • Secondary: Over 48.5

Final Score Prediction: Tarleton State wins and covers 28-24.

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