Troy vs Southern Miss Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 29, 2025
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Troy heads to Hattiesburg at 3:30 PM ET for a matchup between a pair of 7-4 teams trying to close the regular season with momentum. Both sit at 5-2 in Sun Belt play, and the numbers suggest a tight game. Southern Miss is favored according to the predictor, holding a 56.8 percent edge. Rivalry week? Bowl season? Our college football predictions keep you ahead.
Troy Preview
Troy comes in after a 31-19 win over Georgia State that finally stabilized things following a rough two-game run. Before that, the Trojans were shut out 33-0 by Old Dominion and lost 23-10 to Arkansas State, which told the story of an offense stuck in neutral. Tucker Kilcrease has thrown for 1,414 yards with 9 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, and Troy leans heavily on Tae Meadows, who has 591 rushing yards and 4 scores. Tray Taylor provides yards after the catch at receiver, but the passing game has lacked consistency against the better defenses on the schedule. Troy’s ability to avoid long-yardage situations becomes the biggest variable because the offense has stalled whenever the line fails to create balance.
The Trojans’ strength has been the front seven led by Donnie Smith, who has 7 sacks, and Jordan Stringer with 97 total tackles. Those two keep Troy competitive even when the offense isn’t producing. This group can generate pressure without blitzing, and that will matter against a quarterback who thrives in rhythm. Troy’s concern is big-play prevention, which showed up in the losses during November. Sustaining drives and keeping the defense off the field becomes a major part of their plan in order to win. Betting on sports and on Troy is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks.
Southern Miss Preview
Southern Miss has dropped two straight, giving up 42 points to South Alabama and 41 to Texas State. Those defensive mistakes overshadowed a strong three-game stretch before that. Braylon Braxton has been the engine of this offense with 2,587 passing yards, 22 touchdowns, and only 6 interceptions. He pushes the ball downfield well and has a reliable first target in Elijah Metcalf, who leads the team with 615 receiving yards. Jeffery Pittman’s 589 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns bring balance that Troy must respect, especially in the red zone.
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Southern Miss leans on edge rusher J’Mond Tapp, who has 6.5 sacks, while linebacker Chris Jones leads the roster with 117 tackles. This unit has talent, but the recent 83 points allowed in two weeks raise concerns about tackling and late-game fatigue. If Southern Miss doesn’t stabilize coverage and early-down execution, Braxton may have to carry a shootout again. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Southern Miss with the social sportsbooks.
Southern Miss vs Troy Prediction
Southern Miss holds the more reliable quarterback and the deeper skill-position players. Troy’s pass rush keeps the Trojans in range, but the talent at quarterback and home-field advantage tilt this matchup. The Golden Eagles should control the second and third quarters and create enough big plays to separate. Getting the most out of your bets on Southern Miss vs Troy can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
Final Score: Southern Miss 31, Troy 24
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