Troy vs Texas State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 11, 2025

By: Cameron Ross Updated 10/10/2025, 10:52 PM ET
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Troy vs Texas State Information

The Troy Trojans will be on the road again this week as the Texas State Bobcats will host a Sun Belt matchup inside UFCU Stadium. Troy has three wins and two losses overall, riding a 2-game winning streak after a 7-point overtime victory a week ago. The Texas State Bobcats will be back at home this week with three wins and two losses, having dropped two of the last three overall. Maximize your wagers by reading our free college football picks before kickoff.

Troy Preview

The Troy Trojans have been an offense-minded team this season, averaging 22.6 points per game overall. Defensively, Troy has struggled, allowing 23.2 points per game this season. Tucker Kilcrease is the offensive leader this season for Troy 416 yards and three touchdowns on 37 completions. Goose Crowder has completed 35 passes for 324 yards and four scores this season. Tae Meadows leads all ball carriers in the Troy offense with 416 yards and three touchdowns on 75 carries. Tray Taylor has led the way for the Troy offense with 191 yards and two touchdowns on 11 receptions.

Texas State Preview

The Texas State Bobcats have been strong on the offensive side this season, averaging 35 points per game overall. Defensively, Texas State has been mediocre, allowing 26.2 points per game through its first five games. Brad Jackson leads the Texas State offense this season with 1,094 yards and seven touchdowns on 86 completions. Lincoln Pare has led the way out of the backfield for Troy with 468 yards and five touchdowns on 82 carries. Beau Sparks has been the main target of the Troy offense with 428 yards and five touchdowns on 31 receptions.

Troy vs Texas State Prediction

Both teams have had their share of troubles this season, but Troy is the stronger team in this matchup. The Trojans enter this game playing well and will likely continue that trend against the struggling Texas State team. Take Troy to make enough plays down the stretch to get the winning cover on the road as they stay undefeated in the conference. Final Score Prediction, Troy Trojans win and cover 27-13.

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Best Picks:

  • Troy Trojans +10.5
  • Under 53.5
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