Troy vs Utah State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 26, 2026
The Troy Trojans visit the Utah State Aggies on Saturday, September 26, at Maverik Stadium in Logan, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 7:30 PM ET on CBSSN. The Troy Trojans are 2-1 overall and have not opened their Sun Belt schedule after a 27-17 loss at Missouri. The Utah State Aggies are 0-3 overall and have not opened their Pac-12 schedule after a 33-0 road loss to Utah. Follow Saturday’s action with our free NCAAF picks.
Troy Trojans Preview
Troy is averaging 25 points through three games, with 198.7 passing yards and 165.3 rushing yards per game. Goose Crowder has completed 44 of 83 passes for 596 yards, six touchdowns and one interception. Jaheim Merriweather has rushed for 193 yards and three touchdowns on 28 carries, while Gavin Griffin also has 193 yards on the ground. TK Keyes has provided the big plays in the passing game with nine catches for 250 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 27.8 yards per reception.
The Trojans are allowing 21.7 points per game after giving up 21 to Sam Houston, 17 to Alabama State and 27 to Missouri. Troy has seven sacks, one interception, two forced fumbles and three recoveries. Justin Powe and Keno Jones lead the defense with 19 tackles each, with Jones adding 1.5 sacks. Donnie Smith has two sacks and a forced fumble, while TJ Thompson has the Trojans’ interception. Jordan Perry, Ty Clemons and Keyshawn Campbell have also recorded sacks.
Injuries: S Joe Lott is questionable with an undisclosed injury.
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Utah State Aggies Preview
Utah State is averaging 10.3 points through three games, with 190.3 passing yards and 98.3 rushing yards per game. Grady Brosterhous has completed 37 of 70 passes for 393 yards, two touchdowns and five interceptions. Brosterhous also leads the Aggies with 133 rushing yards, but Utah State has yet to score a rushing touchdown. Eli Wood leads the receiving group with 16 catches for 190 yards and two touchdowns, while Javon Robinson has 131 yards and one score on six receptions.
The Aggies are allowing 26 points per game after losses to Idaho State, Washington and Utah. Utah State has five sacks but has not recorded an interception through three games. Brevin Hamblin leads the defense with 20 tackles, followed by Harrison Taggart with 18 and Asher Cunningham with 17. James Jennette has a team-high two sacks, while Cunningham, Carson Tujague and Charger Doty have one apiece. Utah State has forced one fumble and recovered one.
Injuries: QB McCae Hillstead is questionable with a forearm injury.
Troy vs Utah State Prediction
Troy enters with the stronger offensive production, and Crowder has protected the football with six touchdown passes against one interception. Utah State has eight interceptions between its two quarterbacks and has scored only 31 points across three games, including a shutout loss to Utah last week. The Aggies also have no rushing touchdowns, while Troy has a pair of backs with 193 yards apiece, and Keyes gives the Trojans a downfield threat. Utah State has home field, but Troy’s ability to generate bigger plays and avoid turnovers gives the Trojans the advantage in a close matchup. Final Score Prediction: Troy Trojans win, 24-20.
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Best Picks
- Troy Trojans +2.5
- Under 49.5
