Tulsa vs. Memphis Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 4, 2025
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Tulsa vs Memphis Game Information
Tulsa travels to Memphis looking to turn its season around against one of the hottest teams in the American. The Golden Hurricane sit at 2-3 overall and 0-2 in conference play, while the Tigers have raced out to a 5-0 start and are eyeing a strong push toward a league title run. Kickoff is set for 8:00 PM ET at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium and will be broadcast on ESPNU. Rivalry week? Bowl season? Looking to cash in this weekend? Start with our trusted college football picks.
Tulsa Preview
Tulsa has struggled for consistency over the first month of the season. The Golden Hurricane most recently fell 31-14 to Tulane, marking the third loss in four outings. Quarterback Baylor Hayes has thrown for 787 yards with 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 77 completions, but the offense hasn’t found a rhythm week to week. Dominic Richardson leads the ground attack with 490 rushing yards on 98 carries and 2 scores, providing some balance. Cortez Braham Jr. has been the top target in the passing game, hauling in 22 catches for 382 yards and 4 touchdowns. The defense, meanwhile, has allowed 30 or more points in three of the last four games, putting pressure on the offense to keep pace. Tulsa must find ways to control the clock and limit mistakes if it wants to compete on the road.
Memphis Preview
Memphis enters this matchup full of confidence after a 55-26 win over Florida Atlantic. Brendon Lewis has been efficient at quarterback, completing 83 of 124 passes for 1,003 yards with 5 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions. Running back Sutton Smith has been a steady presence, producing 420 rushing yards on 60 carries with 5 scores, giving the Tigers a reliable ground threat. Wideout Zion Booker has chipped in with 33 receptions for 283 yards, while the Memphis defense has created opportunities for the offense by limiting explosive plays and winning the turnover battle. The Tigers’ balance on both sides of the ball has fueled the undefeated start, and the last five wins have come by an average margin of 17 points.
Tulsa vs Memphis Prediction
Memphis is the clear favorite at home, holding nearly a 96 percent win probability according to ESPN Analytics. Tulsa has struggled to move the ball against stronger opponents, and the Golden Hurricane’s inconsistency makes this a tough matchup against a Memphis squad firing on all cylinders. Expect the Tigers’ offense to establish control early while the defense contains Hayes and Richardson. The Tigers’ offensive pace should push the game over the number, while depth and efficiency make them strong against the spread at home.
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Prediction: Memphis 38, Tulsa 17
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Best Bets:
- Memphis -21.5 spread
- Over 55.5 total points
