Tulsa vs New Mexico State Picks and Predictions for Saturday September 6 2025
Tulsa at New Mexico State Preview
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane visit the New Mexico State Aggies in a Week 2 college football matchup on September 6, 2025, at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, New Mexico. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. MT, with the game airing on a regional network. Tulsa enters as a 3.5-point favorite with a moneyline around -165, while the over/under is set at 52.5 points, per major sportsbooks. This non-conference contest features two teams coming off Week 1 victories, with Tulsa aiming to build momentum under new head coach Tre Lamb. Unlock winning strategies and expert insights with these College Football Picks to elevate your betting game this season.
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Tulsa Analysis
Tulsa started the 2025 season with a 1-0 record after a convincing 35-7 win over Abilene Christian in Week 1. The Golden Hurricane showed strong form in their opener, dominating on the ground and through the air while holding their opponent to just one score. Last season, Tulsa finished 4-8 overall, but their Week 1 performance suggests improvement under Lamb, who brings a fresh offensive approach.
The Golden Hurricane's offense averaged 35 points in Week 1, totaling over 400 yards with a balanced attack. Quarterback Kirk Francis, a sophomore, threw for 218 yards and a touchdown while adding mobility. The team rushed for 242 yards, ranking them highly early in the season, though their defense allowed 7 points but forced turnovers. Tulsa's pass defense will be key against NMSU's aerial threats.
New Mexico State Analysis
New Mexico State also opened 2025 at 1-0, securing a 19-3 victory over Bryant in Week 1. The Aggies pulled away late, showcasing a stout defense that limited their opponent to minimal yardage. In 2024, NMSU went 2-10, but their defensive effort in the opener indicates progress, particularly in the front seven.
The Aggies' offense managed 19 points in Week 1, with 227 passing yards but a modest rushing output. Quarterback Logan Fife, a transfer, completed passes efficiently, connecting with receivers for key gains. NMSU's defense shone, allowing just 3 points and 215 total yards, with strong pressure on the quarterback generating sacks and turnovers.
Standout Players and Key Injuries
For Tulsa, quarterback Kirk Francis leads the offense with his dual-threat ability, throwing for 218 yards in Week 1, while running back Anthony Richardson rushed for 142 yards and a touchdown, emerging as the team's top rusher. Wide receiver Kamdyn Benjamin is a key target, known for his speed. On defense, linebacker Myles Jackson anchors the unit with tackles and pass-rush skills. For New Mexico State, quarterback Logan Fife directs the attack with 227 passing yards in the opener, and wide receiver PJ Johnson is the top receiver with big-play potential. Defensive lineman Sone Aupiu leads the front with sacks, and safety Dakerric Hobbs patrols the secondary.
Tulsa is without linebacker Calvin Thompson Jr. due to an ankle injury, impacting their defensive depth. New Mexico State will miss star linebacker Tyler Martinez, sidelined for the game, which could weaken their run defense and overall front seven.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +2,576.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,654.00 |
| 3 |  Earle Sports Bets | +1,541.00 |
| 4 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,397.00 |
| 5 |  Mark Ruelle | +784.00 |
Prediction Reasoning
Tulsa's balanced offense, highlighted by a strong rushing attack in Week 1, should exploit New Mexico State's vulnerabilities up front, especially with Martinez out. The Golden Hurricane's experience under Lamb and Francis's poise give them an edge in controlling the tempo. However, NMSU's defense showed promise against Bryant, potentially keeping the game close early with pressure on Francis. The Aggies' home-field advantage at Aggie Memorial could factor in, but Tulsa's superior talent and momentum from their dominant opener should prevail in a competitive matchup. Expect Tulsa to pull away in the second half as their depth wears down NMSU. Final Score Prediction: Tulsa 31, New Mexico State 24.
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