UT Martin vs Missouri State Picks and Predictions for Saturday, September 20, 2025
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UT Martin vs Missouri State Game Information
UT Martin enters this game still searching for its first win after starting the season 0-3. The Skyhawks have been outscored heavily, falling 37-10 to Southern Illinois last week after double-digit losses at UTEP and Oklahoma State. Missouri State is 1-2, coming off a 28-10 loss to SMU but previously grabbing a narrow road win over Marshall. Kickoff is set for 5:00 PM ET at Robert W. Plaster Stadium in Springfield, Missouri, with coverage on ESPN+. Don’t miss the upset alerts — today’s best college football picks are live.
UT Martin Preview
Quarterback Jase Bauer has been the focal point of UT Martin’s offense, throwing for 343 yards on 32-of-49 passing with one touchdown and one interception. Running back John Gentry leads the backfield with 83 yards on 28 carries, though the ground game has struggled to establish consistency. Wideout Bryce Bailey has posted 109 receiving yards on six catches, giving Bauer a capable target, but overall production has been limited. Linebacker Shamari Weir has recorded two sacks, while safety Jacob Stevenson leads the team with 15 tackles, though the defense has been on the field too often due to short drives.
Missouri State Preview
Missouri State has leaned on quarterback Jacob Clark, who has thrown for 506 yards and four touchdowns across three games, though he has also tossed three interceptions. Running back Shomari Lawrence has provided some balance with 99 rushing yards on 29 carries, while Ramone Green Jr. has been dangerous as a pass-catcher with 151 receiving yards and a touchdown on six receptions. The Bears’ offensive unit has shown flashes of explosiveness, especially when Clark finds rhythm, but turnovers have limited scoring. On the defensive side, lineman Mitchell Toney has recorded two sacks, and safety Maguire Neal has added 12 tackles to stabilize the secondary.
UT Martin vs Missouri State Pick
The key factor in this matchup is efficiency. UT Martin has struggled to sustain drives, averaging fewer than 14 points per game in its first three contests, while Missouri State has at least shown an ability to push the ball through the air and strike quickly. Playing at home, the Bears have the advantage both in firepower and consistency, while the Skyhawks are still trying to find a formula to stay competitive for four quarters. Missouri State should be able to pull away as the game progresses.
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Prediction: Missouri State 31, UT Martin 14
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