Utah State at Hawaii Picks and Predictions for Saturday, October 11, 2025
Use Code PPWC
The Utah State Aggies visit the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on Saturday at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, with an 11:59 PM ET kickoff on the Spectrum SportsNet. Utah State is 3–2 and 1–0 in the Mountain West Conference after a 55–35 loss at Vanderbilt, which is tied for first in league play. Hawaii is 4–2 and 1–1 in MWC play after a 44–35 win at Air Force, a half-game back. Our free college football picks will make you a winning bettor.
Utah State Preview
Bryson Barnes has been tough to defend: 85-of-129 for 1,143 passing yards with 11 touchdowns and one interception. Braden Pegan leads the receivers with 369 yards and four scores, and Brady Boyd adds 288 yards with three touchdowns. Utah State has hit for big gains to Pegan and tight end Broc Lane, and the passing game has kept drives moving.
The Aggies can run it, too. Miles Davis has 314 rushing yards and two touchdowns, and Barnes has 245 yards with six touchdowns. Linebacker John Miller leads with 48 tackles and five sacks, and corner Noah Avinger has three interceptions. Utah State’s mix of takeaway chances and red-zone rushing has led to solid results.
Hawaii Preview
Hawaii has produced steady pressure, led by Jackie Johnson III with 4.5 sacks. Safety Peter Manuma tops the team with 33 tackles, while Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen has an interception. The front seven has created third and long many times, and the coverage has limited deep plays at home.
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On offense, Micah Alejado is 108-of-164 for 1,043 passing yards and six touchdowns. Pofele Ashlock has 355 receiving yards with three scores, and Jackson Harris has 241 yards with three touchdowns. The ground game uses Landon Sims (241 rushing yards) with Cam Barfield adding 131. Kicker Kansei Matsuzawa has been perfect on field goals (16-for-16), which matters in a close game.
Utah State vs Hawaii Prediction
Both teams can score, but Utah State has the advantage in turnover margin. Barnes protects the ball, and the Aggies have more answers inside the 20. Hawaii’s passing game can keep the Rainbow Warriors close for a half, but Utah State’s balance on both sides of the line of scrimmage takes over in the second half. Final Score Prediction: Utah State Aggies win and cover ATS 34–30.
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