Utah State vs Boise State Picks and Predictions for Saturday October 3 2026
The Utah State Aggies travel to Boise for a Pac-12 matchup against the Boise State Broncos at Albertsons Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30 PM ET with coverage on CBS Sports Network. Utah State endured a difficult opening stretch before hosting Troy on September 26, while Boise State enters conference play as one of the league’s most highly regarded teams. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be ready for all the college football season with our free college football picks.
Utah State Has Plenty to Fix
Utah State opened the season with three consecutive losses, falling 29-17 to Idaho State, 16-14 at Washington and 33-0 at Utah. The Aggies were therefore still looking for their first victory entering their September 26 matchup against Troy.
There have been some encouraging moments hidden within those results. Utah State went to Washington as a 27.5-point underdog and lost by only two points. That performance demonstrated that the Aggies can compete against stronger opposition when the defense keeps them attached.
Offensive consistency remains the major problem. Utah State followed that competitive performance at Washington by being shut out against Utah. Going into Boise and producing another game without sustained offensive possessions would make it nearly impossible for the Aggies to remain competitive.
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Boise State Has the Advantage on the Blue Turf
Boise State entered the season as one of the programs expected to contend immediately in the reconstructed Pac-12. The Broncos now get Utah State at Albertsons Stadium in a matchup where they should have meaningful advantages in both offensive consistency and home field.
Boise State’s goal should be straightforward: establish control early and make Utah State chase the game. The Aggies have already demonstrated difficulty generating points, and forcing them into a pass-heavy comeback situation would strongly favor the Broncos.
The only question from a betting perspective is how large the eventual spread becomes. Boise State should be favored comfortably, but Utah State’s two-point loss at Washington provides evidence that the Aggies are capable of playing above expectations in the underdog role.
Utah State vs Boise State Picks and Prediction
Pick: Boise State
Until a dependable spread is available, Boise State is the side rather than attaching an invented number. The Broncos have the stronger overall roster, home-field advantage and face a Utah State offense that was shut out by Utah. Boise State should be able to control this matchup if it avoids turnovers.
Pick: Under if the Total is 52.5 or Higher
Utah State’s offensive problems make the under the more attractive approach. The Aggies scored 17, 14 and zero points through their first three games. Boise State can win comfortably without this becoming a shootout. At 52.5 or higher, the under provides room for something like a 31-13 or 34-14 result.
Final Picks: Boise State and Under 52.5 or Higher
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