Utah State vs. Vanderbilt Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 27, 2025

By: Dylan Hellebrand Updated 09/27/2025, 01:18 AM ET
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On Saturday, the Utah State Aggies (3-1) face off against the Vanderbilt Commodores (4-0) at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. The game will be aired on SEC Network. Don’t guess on Saturday—grab the smartest plays with our free college football predictions.

Game Information For Utah State vs Vanderbilt

  • September 27, 2025, 12:45pm EST
  • FirstBank Stadium
  • SEC Network
  • 68° sunny/cloudy at start time

Vanderbilt Form & Recent Results

Vanderbilt enters this matchup riding the momentum of a four-game winning streak to kick off their new season. The Commodores are coming off an impressive 70-21 victory over Georgia State last Saturday, where quarterback Diego Pavia was highly efficient, completing 18 of 24 passes and throwing for a touchdown. Pavia has been a key contributor to Vanderbilt's early success, already amassing 890 passing yards through the first four games. He’s also been effective on the ground, rushing for 215 yards, just edging out running back Sedrick Alexander, who has picked up 210 yards himself. Tight end Eli Stowers has emerged as Pavia’s favorite target, leading the team with 233 receiving yards so far. Vanderbilt’s offense has been explosive compared to last season, averaging 47.5 points per game, nearly double their 25-point average from last season. Their offensive surge has not gone unnoticed, as the Commodores have climbed to No. 18 in the AP Poll. Heading into this matchup, Vanderbilt will aim to maintain their high-scoring output and secure a statement win in front of their home crowd.

Utah State Form & Recent Results

Utah State comes into this matchup riding the momentum of a two-game winning streak, having emerged victorious in three of their first four games this season. Last week, the Aggies dominated McNeese with an impressive 48-7 victory. Quarterback Bryson Barnes played a pivotal role, completing 19 of his 27 pass attempts and throwing for three touchdowns, although he did have one interception. So far this season, Barnes has passed for a total of 982 yards, providing a steady presence under center. On the ground, running back Miles Davis has carried the offense effectively, racking up 310 rushing yards through four games. In the receiving corps, Braden Pegan has been Barnes’s top target, amassing 303 receiving yards, closely followed by fellow wide receiver Brady Boyd, who has contributed 274 yards. Offensively, Utah State has been explosive, averaging 36.8 points per game through the early part of the season. They will look to maintain that pace as they head on the road to face Vanderbilt, which is considered one of their toughest matchups so far. Defensively, the Aggies will aim to contain Vanderbilt’s potent offense and build on their recent success. For comparison, Utah State averaged 31.5 points per game over the course of last season, demonstrating clear improvement on the offensive side of the ball this year.

Key Players for Utah State and Vanderbilt

  • Utah State QB Bryson Barnes: 70-for-107, 8 TD, 1 INT
  • Vanderbilt QB Diego Pavia: 68-for-92, 8 TD, 2 INT

Utah State vs Vanderbilt Picks and Prediction

Vanderbilt has climbed to No. 18 in the latest AP Poll, and they’ll aim to maintain their strong form as they host Utah State in Nashville. The Commodores have built some solid momentum this season and will be eager to keep that going in front of their home crowd. Meanwhile, Utah State arrives in Nashville as definite underdogs. However, they’ll be looking to embrace their underdog label, hoping it fuels their performance and sparks an upset as the season progresses. Final Score Prediction, Vanderbilt Commodores win 44-26.

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