UTSA vs Texas State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026
The UTSA Roadrunners visit the Texas State Bobcats on Saturday at UFCU Stadium in San Marcos, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 3:30 PM ET and coverage on The CW. UTSA enters at 1-0 after opening the season with a 45-16 win over UTRGV, while Texas State is 0-1 following a 59-7 road loss to Texas. UTSA is a 1.5-point favorite at -105 after Texas State opened -1.5. The Bobcats are +1.5 at -115, while the total remains 64.5. Get ready for Saturday's matchup with our free NCAAF picks.
UTSA Roadrunners Preview
UTSA produced 525 total yards in its opening victory, including 275 through the air and 250 on the ground. Owen McCown completed 22 of 27 passes for 275 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions. Will Henderson III ran for 99 yards and a touchdown on nine carries, while A'Marion Peterson added 96 yards and a score on eight attempts. UTSA averaged 8.6 yards per rushing attempt and did not allow a sack.
DJ Allen Jr. supplied the biggest plays in the passing game, catching three passes for 116 yards and a touchdown, including a 62-yard reception. The UTSA defense allowed 16 points and recorded two interceptions. Nate Robinson Jr. had one of those picks, while James Walley Jr. recorded six tackles and a sack. Joel Rogers led the Roadrunners with seven tackles. UTSA enters this matchup with a major advantage in offensive production after its strong opener.
Injuries: No injuries to report.
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Texas State Bobcats Preview
Texas State had a difficult opener against Texas but still produced 349 total yards, with 188 passing and 161 rushing. Brad Jackson completed 15 of 23 passes for 150 yards with one interception, while Gavin Parkhurst added 38 yards on 5-of-6 passing. Jaylen Jenkins and Torrance Burgess Jr. each rushed for 34 yards, while Davian Jackson recorded the Bobcats' only touchdown. Texas State did not produce a passing touchdown.
Tucker Cusano led the receiving group with three catches for 58 yards, including a 41-yard reception. Defensively, Texas State gave up 59 points and generated only one sack, which came from Tymere Jackson. Terrence Cooks II led the Bobcats with eight tackles, followed by Javante Mackey with seven. Texas State now faces another productive offense after UTSA scored 45 points and generated explosive plays both through the air and on the ground in its opener.
Injuries: LB Jordan Sample is questionable with an undisclosed injury.
UTSA vs Texas State Prediction
UTSA enters with the stronger opening performance and a clear advantage at quarterback. McCown completed more than 81% of his passes while producing three touchdowns without a turnover, and the Roadrunners also rushed for 250 yards. Texas State moved the ball at times against Texas but finished with only seven points and failed to produce a passing touchdown. With UTSA offering more explosive options and the line moving from Texas State -1.5 to UTSA -1.5, the Roadrunners are the better side in San Marcos. Final Score Prediction: UTSA Roadrunners win, 36-31.
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Best Picks
- UTSA -1.5 (-105)
- Over 64.5 (-108)
