Washington State at Colorado State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 27, 2025
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The Washington State Cougars (2-2) will travel to Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins to face the Colorado State Rams (1-2) on Saturday, September 27, 2025. Kickoff is scheduled around 7:30 PM ET. Wazzu is looking to rebound after a disappointing loss to Washington, while CSU will try to exploit home field and stabilize after a mixed start. Get the edge this weekend with our free college football picks backed by data and trends.
Washington State Cougars Analysis
Washington State has shown flashes but also some troublesome trends so far this season. Their offense has had difficulty on the ground, turnover issues, and struggles converting in key situations. Their defense has also allowed some big plays, especially rushing yards.
Key Team Stats & Metrics
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Passing leader: Jaxon Potter has thrown for 604 yards over 3 games, completing 67 of 95 attempts (70.5 %) with 4 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions.
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Secondary QB Zevi Eckhaus has also seen action: 349 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs.
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Rushing: Kirby Vorhees leads the backfield with 132 yards on 30 carries (4.4 ypc), but no rushing TDs yet. Other running backs have contributed modestly.
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Receiving: Joshua Meredith leads receiver corps with 195 receiving yards on 15 catches (13.0 yards per catch), and 1 touchdown. Tony Freeman is close behind.
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Third-down offense: Wazzu has converted just about 36.36% of third-downs this season.
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Red zone efficiency: Washington State has been perfect in the red zone for touching the end zone on all trips there so far (15-for-15 in scoring, though not all TDs).
Colorado State Rams Analysis
Colorado State has been working to implement its offensive scheme and find consistency. They’ve had some positive individual performances, particularly early, but they need to close games better and shore up defense.
Key Team Stats & Metrics
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Passing leader: Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has thrown for ~488 yards so far. His completion rate is near the low 50s, with a limited number of touchdowns compared to attempts.
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Rushing: Jalen Dupree has had some success, including ~92 yards and a touchdown vs Washington in their opener.
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Receiving: Jaxxon Warren has been one of the primary targets, with 79 yards and a receiving touchdown in the opener.
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Team offense vs penalties: Colorado State is one of the worst teams in FBS in penalty yards per game (≈76.3 yds/game), which is a liability.
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Red zone offense: CSU ranks roughly mid-pack; they score on a high percentage of red zone trips (≈88.9 %).
Standout Players and Key Injuries
Washington State:
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Jaxon Potter: has been solid through the air; must avoid turnovers and push pace vs CSU’s defense.
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Kirby Vorhees: needed to produce more explosively; his ability to gain chunk yardage on the ground will help open up passing.
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Joshua Meredith: major deep threat and reliable hands; matchup against CSU’s secondary will be critical.
Colorado State:
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Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi: the Rams’ passing leader; his accuracy and ability to avoid mistakes will determine offensive success.
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Jalen Dupree: his explosiveness in run game can be disruptive.
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Jaxxon Warren: top receiving threat; if he gets free, he can stretch defenses.
Washington State vs Colorado State Prediction Reasoning
This game leans toward being closer than some expect, but Colorado State has enough of an advantage at home to make a push. Washington State’s deficiencies running the ball, combined with their negative turnover margin and poor penalty discipline, make them vulnerable in a hostile environment.
If Washington State can sustain drives, limit turnovers, and force CSU into long series (getting more stops), they might stay in it or pull an upset. However, CSU has shown decent red zone execution, some playmakers, and will likely try to keep the tempo up.
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Final Score Projection: Colorado State 27, Washington State 23
Best Picks
- Colorado State ML
- Under down to 50.5 total points
