Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants Picks and Predictions for Sunday October 4 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 09/29/2026, 10:03 PM ET

The Arizona Cardinals visit the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET. Arizona enters at 1-2 after losing 36-30 to San Francisco, while New York improved to 2-1 with a 12-7 victory over Tennessee. The current market has Arizona around a 1-point favorite, with the total sitting between 43.5 and 44.5. Be sure to check out our free NFL picks for more NFL predictions throughout the season.

Cardinals Showing Offensive Potential

Arizona fell to 1-2 after losing 36-30 to San Francisco, but the six-point defeat showed why the Cardinals remain dangerous. Arizona generated 30 points against a quality divisional opponent and now draws a Giants defense dealing with significant personnel concerns.

The Cardinals have also shown the ability to sustain offense through the passing game while getting more production from the ground attack. That’s important against a New York defense that has generated very little pressure through the opening portion of the season.

Arizona’s biggest concern is defensively. Giving up 36 points last week makes it difficult to completely trust the Cardinals laying points on the road. The matchup, however, becomes much more appealing because New York hasn’t demonstrated the same offensive ceiling as San Francisco.

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Giants Winning With Defense

New York is 2-1 after beating Tennessee 12-7, but the final score tells the story of how the Giants have been winning. Their offense has struggled to consistently finish drives, putting substantial pressure on the defense to keep games within reach.

The Giants enter this matchup with quarterback concerns and significant defensive personnel issues. Their pass rush has also struggled to generate sacks, which becomes problematic against an Arizona offense capable of producing through the air when given time.

New York deserves credit for finding a way to win two of its first three games, but Arizona represents a considerable increase in offensive difficulty from Tennessee. If the Cardinals reach the mid-20s, the Giants may have difficulty matching them.

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants Picks and Prediction

Pick: Arizona Cardinals -1

With the spread essentially asking Arizona to win the game, the Cardinals are the preferred side. Arizona scored 30 points against San Francisco last week, while New York needed only 12 points to beat Tennessee. The Giants have produced just four offensive touchdowns through three games and have struggled to generate defensive pressure. Arizona has the more explosive offensive profile and should create enough scoring opportunities to win on the road.

Pick: Under 44.5

Arizona’s 36-30 loss last week makes the Over tempting, but New York’s offense creates a very different game environment. The Giants have struggled to produce touchdowns and are likely to emphasize a more conservative approach. Arizona doesn’t need 30 points again to win this matchup. Something around 24-17 or 23-16 would give the Cardinals the victory while keeping the game below 44.5.

Final Picks: Arizona Cardinals -1 and Under 44.5

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