Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Picks and Predictions for Sunday, January 4, 2026

By: David Anicetti Published 12/31/2025, 12:20 AM ET
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The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers meet in a win-and-get-in Week 18 showdown on Sunday Night Football. The winner captures the AFC North title and the No. 4 seed in the playoffs, while the loser is eliminated. Baltimore is 8–8 after a dominant 41–24 road win over Green Bay, while Pittsburgh is 9–7 following a 13–6 loss at Cleveland. Cash in with our free NFL picks.

Steelers vs Ravens Game Information

  • Kickoff: 8:20 PM ET
  • Date: Sunday, January 4
  • Where: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
  • TV: NBC

Baltimore Ravens Outlook

Baltimore’s offense normally revolves around Lamar Jackson, who has thrown for 2,311 yards with 18 touchdowns and six interceptions this season, but Jackson is listed as inactive with a back injury. Tyler Huntley (426 yards passing, 2 TDs) will start under center if Jackson cannot play. That puts the spotlight squarely on Derrick Henry, who leads the Ravens with 1,469 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns. Zay Flowers has been the most consistent target in the passing game, leading the team with 82 receptions for 1,073 yards.

Defensively, Roquan Smith leads the Ravens with 127 tackles and sets the tone in the middle of the field. Marlon Humphrey anchors the secondary with four interceptions, and Baltimore’s defense has been at its best when it limits big plays and forces opponents to execute long drives without mistakes.

Pittsburgh Steelers Outlook

Pittsburgh will be led by veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who has passed for 3,028 yards with 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Jaylen Warren leads the rushing attack with 892 yards and six touchdowns. With DK Metcalf suspended, the Steelers will rely more heavily on tight end Pat Freiermuth and the running backs in the passing game to move up and down the field.

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On defense, Payton Wilson leads the team with 123 tackles, while Alex Highsmith has been the most productive pass rusher with 8.5 sacks. Pittsburgh faces challenges on both sides of the ball with T.J. Watt and Isaac Seumalo listed as inactive, which could impact the pass rush and pass protection by the offensive line.

Ravens vs Steelers Prediction

This matchup shapes up as a physical, low-scoring battle for the AFC North title. Pittsburgh has the edge at quarterback, but Baltimore’s ability to control the line of scrimmage with Henry and limit mistakes on defense gives the Ravens an advantage. Expect a tight game decided late, with Baltimore doing just enough to advance to the postseason. Final Score Prediction: Baltimore Ravens win and cover ATS, 21-16. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on the Steelers. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Ravens with the Kickr promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Steelers vs Ravens you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

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Best Picks

  • Baltimore Ravens -3.5
  • Under 41.5
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