Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Sunday September 13 2026
The Dallas Cowboys travel to face the New York Giants in a rivalry matchup loaded with storylines, making this a great game to check against today's NFL predictions. New York snapped a nine-game losing streak to Dallas with a 34-17 home win in Week 18 last year, though that contest took on a playground-like feel with the Cowboys resting most of their starters. With Malik Nabers set to return for the Giants and Dak Prescott shouldering a heavy workload for Dallas, this rivalry game has the ingredients for another high-scoring affair.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Side: Dallas -3 (-105)
- Total: Over 48.5 (-105)
- Projected Final Score: Cowboys 30, Giants 24
Odds and Line Movement
Below is the current market snapshot for Dallas at New York, followed by line movement tables tracking the spread and total along with public betting splits leading up to kickoff.
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas | -3 (-105) | 48.5 |
| N.Y. Giants | +3 (-115) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Dallas | N.Y. Giants | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | -3-105 | 3-115 | DAL 90%, DAL 77% |
| 09/07 | -3-108 | 3-112 | DAL 93%, DAL 79% |
| 09/07 | -3-110 | 3-110 | DAL 93%, DAL 79% |
| 09/05 | -2½-118 | 2½-102 | DAL 92%, DAL 77% |
| 07/24 | -2½-115 | 2½-105 | |
| 07/09 | -2½-110 | 2½-110 | |
| 05/12 | -1½-115 | 1½-105 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | 48½-105 | 48½-115 | UN 69%, UN 52% |
| 09/11 | 47½-120 | 47½+100 | UN 69%, UN 52% |
| 09/11 | 47½-115 | 47½-105 | UN 68%, UN 51% |
| 09/07 | 48½-105 | 48½-115 | UN 56%, OV 53% |
Cowboys vs Giants Key Matchups and Game Preview
New York broke a nine-game losing streak to Dallas with a 34-17 home win in Week 18 last year, a contest that took on a playground-like feel with the Cowboys resting most of their starters while Giants rookie Jaxson Dart looked to end his debut campaign on a high note. This meeting figures to be a much different test for both sides with full rosters and real playoff stakes on the line.
Giants' Nabers Return
Giants star receiver Malik Nabers is expected to play after missing 13 games with a serious knee injury. Nabers did play in the Week 2 matchup with Dallas last season, catching nine balls on 13 targets for 167 yards with two touchdowns, and Dart is looking forward to having his top target back in the lineup for this rivalry game.
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Cowboys' Offensive Line Concerns
All-Pro guard Tyler Smith is expected to miss the first 4-6 weeks after undergoing thumb surgery, which will likely hurt Dallas' rushing attack. That means more targets for CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens, and Dak Prescott has been asked to carry a heavy load in the Cowboys' offense over the past few seasons, a trend that will likely continue for the first month of the 2026 campaign.
Harbaugh's History Against Prescott
New York's new head coach John Harbaugh didn't cross paths with Dallas very often as a member of the AFC North, but they did play in September 2024 with Baltimore earning a 28-25 win in a game that saw 50 first downs. Prescott produced 379 passing yards against Harbaugh's Ravens defense in that contest, suggesting he shouldn't find too many issues against the current version of the Giants' defense.
Total Trends Point to Points
Four of the last five meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and the first contest between the Cowboys and Giants last year saw 77 points scored. With Nabers back for New York and Prescott expected to throw frequently behind a banged-up offensive line, this game has the look of another shootout.
Betting Trends: DAL vs NYG
Cowboys Trends
Dallas has been favored throughout the entire betting window, though the spread has crept up from 1.5 points in May to 3 points as kickoff approaches. Public betting has been heavily on the Cowboys, with support reaching as high as 93% on the spread at points during the pregame window.
Giants Trends
New York snapped a long losing streak to Dallas last season, and the return of Malik Nabers gives the Giants a much stronger offensive weapon than they had for most of 2025. The total has drawn a fairly even public split recently, though the under has picked up more support in the days closest to kickoff.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: DAL vs NYG
Cowboys Injury Report
All-Pro guard Tyler Smith is expected to miss the first 4-6 weeks after undergoing thumb surgery, a significant loss for Dallas' offensive line and rushing attack. That absence likely shifts even more of the offensive burden onto Prescott's arm and the club's receiving corps.
Giants Injury Report
Malik Nabers is expected to play after missing 13 games with a serious knee injury, a major boost for New York's offense heading into this rivalry matchup. His return gives Jaxson Dart a proven weapon that was largely unavailable for most of last season.
Cowboys vs Giants Side and Over/Under Picks
Dallas Side Pick
- Pick: Cowboys -3 (-105)
- Reasoning: Prescott has previously produced 379 passing yards against a Harbaugh-coached defense, and with Tyler Smith out, expect Dallas to lean on the passing attack to control this game.
Cowboys Total Pick
- Pick: Over 48.5 (-105)
- Reasoning: Four of the last five meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and with Nabers back for New York and Prescott expected to throw often, this game projects as another high-scoring affair.
Final Score Prediction
- Dallas: 30
- N.Y. Giants: 24
A pass-heavy approach from both offenses keeps this rivalry game high-scoring, with Dallas' aerial attack proving just enough to escape New York with a win.
How to Wager On Cowboys vs Giants
Bettors looking to build out this Cowboys vs Giants matchup have several tools available beyond the standard sportsbook line. For those comparing model-driven projections against the market on this rivalry game, checking AI picks can help confirm a side or total before placing a wager. Readers who want a deeper look at data-driven modeling for a high-scoring rivalry matchup like this can also review the Dimers review or the Oddible review for additional context on how each platform grades this game. Combining that research with the line movement and public betting data above gives bettors a fuller picture before backing the spread or total in this NFC East rivalry matchup.
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