Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, Picks, Odds and Line Movement for December 7, 2025
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The AFC West rivalry between the Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders renews on Sunday in Las Vegas, and the betting market has installed Denver as a clear road favorite after a 10-7 home win in the first meeting. Below, we break down our Broncos vs Raiders prediction with updated odds, line movement, key matchups, and betting edges, plus a projected final score. For more breakdowns across the league, be sure to check the latest NFL picks before kickoff.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Side: Denver Broncos -7.5
- Total: Under 40.5
- Projected Final Score: Broncos 27, Raiders 13
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | -7.5 (-110) | O 40.5 (-108) |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +7.5 (-110) | U 40.5 (-112) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Denver | Las Vegas | Public (%, $) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03 | 03:05am | -7.5 (-110) | +7.5 (-110) | DEN 63%, 52% |
| 12/03 | 12:01am | -7.5 (-105) | +7.5 (-115) | DEN 65%, 51% |
| 12/02 | 01:47pm | -7.5 (-110) | +7.5 (-110) | DEN 65%, 51% |
| 12/02 | 10:47am | -7.5 (-104) | +7.5 (-118) | DEN 70%, 55% |
| 12/01 | 09:03am | -7.5 (-110) | +7.5 (-110) | LV 60%, 84% |
| 11/29 | 10:33am | -7.5 (-105) | +7.5 (-115) | LV 60%, 84% |
| 11/25 | 01:52pm | -7.5 (-115) | +7.5 (-105) | LV 70%, 85% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public (%, $) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02 | 03:45am | 40.5 O (-108) | 40.5 U (-112) | – |
| 12/01 | 08:00am | 40.5 O (-114) | 40.5 U (-106) | – |
| 11/30 | 09:03pm | 41 O (-120) | 41 U (-102) | – |
| 11/29 | 10:33am | 40.5 O (-115) | 40.5 U (-105) | – |
| 11/25 | 01:52pm | 39.5 O (-110) | 39.5 U (-110) | – |
Key Matchups and Game Preview
Broncos Defense vs Raiders Offense
These AFC West foes just played on November 6, when Denver earned a 10-7 home win in a game dominated by defense. The Raiders managed only 3.2 yards per play and ten first downs, and quarterback Geno Smith was sacked six times. That performance was not an outlier — Las Vegas has dropped six straight games by an average of 13.8 points and is scoring just 12.7 points per contest during that stretch. Denver does not need a shootout here; if the Broncos replicate the pressure and disruption they generated in the first matchup, the Raiders’ offense again projects to struggle sustaining drives.
Raiders Offensive Line Problems
Las Vegas’ offensive line issues have only deepened since that loss in Denver. Starting center Jackson Powers-Johnson has been placed on injured reserve with an ankle injury, weakening a unit that already had trouble handling the Broncos’ front. The Raiders’ receiving corps is also thinning out, with Dont'e Thornton Jr. likely out after suffering a concussion last week against the Chargers. That leaves a banged-up, undermanned offense trying to protect a quarterback who has already taken a beating from this opponent once.
Broncos Offense vs Raiders Defense
We have been critical of Bo Nix and the Broncos’ offense all season, and power ratings reflect that skepticism: the current spread largely matches where the numbers make this game. Denver’s attack has not been explosive, but it may not need to be against a Raiders team that is “falling apart at the seams.” Justin Herbert injured his hand last week and the Chargers still beat Las Vegas by 17 in a game that easily could have been more lopsided. Realistically, Denver may only need around 17 points to cover this number if its defense once again dictates the game flow.
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Betting Trends for DEN vs LV
- Denver won the first meeting this season 10-7 at home.
- Las Vegas has lost six straight games by an average margin of 13.8 points.
- The Raiders are averaging just 12.7 points per game during that skid.
- In the previous matchup, Las Vegas produced only ten first downs and 3.2 yards per play.
Key Injuries and Things To Know for DEN vs LV
- Raiders offensive line: Starting center Jackson Powers-Johnson is on injured reserve with an ankle injury, further weakening an already struggling unit.
- Raiders receivers: Wideout Dont'e Thornton Jr. is likely to miss this game after suffering a concussion against the Chargers.
- Broncos outlook: Denver’s offense remains inconsistent, but the defense has already shown it can control this matchup after a dominant performance in the 10-7 win earlier this year.
- Home-field wrinkle: With the state of the Raiders’ fanbase and recent results, there is a realistic chance Broncos fans turn Allegiant Stadium into a pseudo home environment for Denver.
Side and Over/Under Picks
Side – Broncos -7.5: Our power ratings line up with the current market spread, and Las Vegas’ recent form makes it difficult to justify backing the underdog. The Raiders’ six-game losing streak, offensive line injuries, and thin receiving corps point toward another game where they struggle to reach even the mid-teens on the scoreboard. Denver does not need an explosive offensive performance to cover; a clean, mistake-free game from Bo Nix paired with another strong defensive outing should be enough for the Broncos to win by more than a touchdown.
Total – Under 40.5: The previous meeting finished 10-7, and the underlying metrics still suggest a lower-scoring script. Las Vegas is averaging 12.7 points over its last six games, while Denver’s path to victory is built on defense and field position rather than a wide-open passing attack. With the Raiders’ offensive line downgraded and their receiving group banged up, long drives will be tough to sustain. A game where the Broncos control tempo, lean on defense, and avoid giving the Raiders short fields fits an under-friendly profile.
Final Score Prediction
Given Denver’s defensive edge, Las Vegas’ offensive struggles, and the likelihood that Broncos fans travel well to this divisional matchup, we project another grinding game where the favorites slowly pull away.
- Projected Final Score: Denver Broncos 27, Las Vegas Raiders 13
- Best Bet – Side: Broncos -7.5
- Best Bet – Total: Under 40.5
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