Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants Picks, Predictions, Odds, and Trends for November 16
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Let's dive into our Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants prediction with odds, line movement history, matchup notes, our ATS/total selections, and a projected final score. See more games broken down in our latest NFL Picks.
Quick Picks & Prediction: Packers vs Giants
- Side: Green Bay Packers -7
- Total: Under 43.5
- Projected Final Score: Green Bay Packers 24, New York Giants 10
- Confidence (0–3): Side 1.5 / Total 2.5
Odds & Line Movement: Packers vs Giants
The tables show the Packers laying a full touchdown, with the total clustered around the low-to-mid 40s.
Opening Odds
| Market | Green Bay Packers | New York Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7 (-104) | +7 (-116) |
| Total | 44.5 (o/u) | |
Current Odds
| Market | Green Bay Packers | New York Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7 (-114) | +7 (-107) |
| Total | Over 43.5 (-106) | Under 43.5 (-114) |
Line Movement — Spread (Game)
| Date | Time | Green Bay | N.Y. Giants | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | 06:24:14pm | -7 (-114) | +7 (-107) | GB 80%, 78% |
| 11/11 | 04:48:17pm | -7.5 (-112) | +7.5 (-106) | GB 78%, 79% |
| 11/11 | 03:48:38pm | -7 (-117) | +7 (-103) | GB 78%, 79% |
| 11/11 | 03:01:08pm | -7.5 (-106) | +7.5 (-114) | GB 78%, 79% |
| 11/11 | 08:21:02am | -7.5 (-106) | +7.5 (-114) | GB 78%, 79% |
| 11/11 | 02:08:32am | -7 (-110) | +7 (-110) | GB 78%, 79% |
| 11/10 | 11:39:54am | -8.5 (-109) | +8.5 (-105) | GB 79%, 76% |
| 11/10 | 11:09:53am | -8 (-115) | +8 (-105) | GB 79%, 76% |
| 11/07 | 10:59:14pm | -7 (-110) | +7 (-110) | GB 76%, 70% |
| 11/04 | 03:59:58am | -7 (-104) | +7 (-116) | GB 54%, 62% |
Line Movement — Total (Game)
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | 06:24:14pm | 43.5 o(-106) | 43.5 u(-114) | u 93%, u 90% |
| 11/11 | 03:48:38pm | 43.5 o(-106) | 43.5 u(-114) | |
| 11/11 | 03:02:45pm | 43.5 o(-106) | 43.5 u(-114) | |
| 11/11 | 02:41:28pm | 43.5 o(-106) | 43.5 u(-114) | |
| 11/11 | 02:15:20pm | 43.5 o(-106) | 43.5 u(-114) | |
| 11/11 | 12:51:39pm | 44 o(-110) | 44 u(-110) | |
| 11/10 | 00:18:58am | 44 o(-110) | 44 u(-110) | |
| 11/09 | 10:11:33pm | 44.5 o(-103) | 44.5 u(-117) |
Key Matchups & Handicap: Packers vs Giants
The Giants have earned a pair of upset wins over the Packers in recent years, winning in London as a 7.5-point ’dog in 2022 and earning a home upset as a 5.5-point ’dog in 2023. The Giants have lost four straight and fired head coach Brian Daboll on Monday. In Chicago, New York led 20–10 in the fourth quarter before rookie QB Jaxson Dart left with a concussion; with Russell Wilson at the helm, the next three drives produced seven total yards, a big part of how the Bears completed the comeback. Following the Packers’ loss to the Eagles on Monday night, Green Bay has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
With today’s protocol, it’s rare for a quarterback to return the week after a concussion, so it’s fair to assume Dart will not be available. And even if he is, he’s taken several hard shots this season. When Wilson was the starter earlier this year, the Giants failed to find the end zone against the Chiefs and Commanders. Wilson also had Cam Skattebo, Malik Nabers, and Darius Slayton to work with in those first three weeks (plus a head coach), and those three have since gone down with injuries. It’s really difficult to see how and where the Giants will be able to contribute toward this total in the mid-40s.
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Betting Trends: Packers vs Giants
- Green Bay has failed to cover six of its last seven games.
- New York has lost four straight.
- New York beat Green Bay as sizable underdogs in 2022 (London) and 2023 (home).
Key Injuries & Notes
- Jaxson Dart left the Chicago game with a concussion; short-week returns are uncommon under current protocols.
- Russell Wilson would be next up; recent starts produced limited offense.
ATS & Total Picks
Matchup and market context point to Green Bay as the side and a lower-scoring profile overall.
Spread Pick — Packers vs Giants
- Pick: Green Bay Packers -7
- Why: Giants’ offensive attrition and instability vs. a full-game script that favors Green Bay field position and drive finishing.
Total Pick — Packers vs Giants
- Pick: Under 43.5
- Why: New York’s path to points looks thin given QB situation, recent production, and injuries to key playmakers.
Final Score Prediction
Green Bay Packers 24, New York Giants 10
How to Bet: Packers vs Giants
If you like Green Bay, prioritize the -7 at standard juice rather than laying a hook; if the market drifts, consider alternate spreads tied to a lower total. For the total, 43.5 sits near a key zone—Under backers may hold out for a 44; Over backers would want 43 or better.
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