Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Picks, Predictions, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday December 20 2025
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Packers vs Bears picks headline this NFC North rematch as Green Bay travels to Chicago, and this breakdown is part of our NFL picks coverage for Week 16. With injuries mounting on both sides and the betting market settling into a familiar range, this matchup sets up as a classic divisional grinder with real implications for how bettors should approach the spread and total.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread: Bears +1.5
- Total: Under 46
- Projected Final Score: Bears 24, Packers 21
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | -1.5 (-110) | 46 |
| Chicago | +1.5 (-110) | 46 |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Green Bay | Chicago |
|---|---|---|
| 12/15 | -1.5 (-102) | +1.5 (-120) |
| 12/14 | -2.5 (-110) | +2.5 (-110) |
| 12/11 | -3.5 (-102) | +3.5 (-120) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 12/15 | 46 (-112) | 46 (-108) |
| 12/14 | 45 (-118) | 45 (-104) |
Key Matchups and Game Preview
Green Bay has dominated this rivalry recently, winning 12 of the last 13 meetings, including a 28-21 home victory over Chicago on December 7. Jordan Love was efficient in that matchup, throwing for 234 yards and three touchdowns, but this rematch brings a very different injury landscape. Love may be without Christian Watson, who caught two touchdowns in the first meeting but is now listed with a chest injury after a scary fall last week.
The Packers defense also takes a major hit with Micah Parsons suffering a season-ending knee injury. With Parsons on the field, Green Bay ranks 11th in EPA per play allowed and eighth in success rate allowed. Without him, those numbers fall to 26th in both categories. Evan Williams and Zach Tom are also dealing with knee injuries, while the offense continues to miss tight end Tucker Kraft.
Chicago is not without its own issues. Rookie wide receiver Rome Odunze re-aggravated a foot injury during warm-ups last week, and Luther Burden III exited the Browns game with an ankle injury. That leaves the Bears potentially short-handed in the passing game, which limits their ability to exploit Green Bay’s defensive absences.
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This matchup shapes up as a run-heavy affair. Since Week 9, Chicago ranks No. 2 in EPA per rush attempt and No. 2 in rushing success rate. In the first meeting, Caleb Williams threw 35 passes while D’Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai combined for 27 rushing attempts. Expect the Bears to lean even more heavily on the ground game this time around.
Betting Trends (GB and CHI)
- Green Bay has won 12 of the last 13 meetings against Chicago.
- Five of the last six head-to-head matchups have gone over the total.
- Chicago ranks No. 2 in EPA per rush attempt since Week 9.
- Green Bay’s last six games have gone under the total.
Key Injuries and Things To Know (GB and CHI)
- Packers: Micah Parsons out for the season (knee).
- Packers: Christian Watson questionable (chest).
- Packers: Evan Williams and Zach Tom dealing with knee injuries.
- Bears: Rome Odunze questionable after re-aggravating a foot injury.
- Bears: Luther Burden III questionable with an ankle injury.
Side and Over and Under Picks
- Spread Pick: Chicago +1.5
- Total Pick: Under 46
Final Score Prediction
Bears 24, Packers 21
How to Wager On Packers vs Bears
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