Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Picks and Prediction for Sunday November 15 2026
The Chiefs and the Falcons are set to kick off their game at 1 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Chiefs are coming to the game as the favorite by 3.5 points, but the total is set mid ranger at 45.5. The Falcons stadium does have a retractable roof and it could be open for this game as the forecast is only set at 54 degrees with no rain in the forecast. The Chiefs are coming to the game here after getting a win over the Jets, but the Falcons are coming back from Spain after dropping at game to the Bengals by 17 points. Be ready for all the NFL action with our free NFL picks.
Kansas City Has Been Getting Better Results
The Chiefs are 6-2 on the season after winning over the Jets by a score of 35-12 on Sunday. That was a nice bounce back win and a strong offensive showing after losing to Denver and having to overcome early offensive struggles against the Jets. Now, the Chiefs have to build on that when facing the Falcons who have not been that convincing.
Kansas City has had a very potent offense with 25.2 points per game scored and 383.6 yards per game picked up.That is the second best in the NFL. However, the Chiefs have been able to move the ball good, but they have struggled to keep finishing drives. The defense for the Chiefs has been playing well, though, and has kept the Chiefs in a lot of games.
Patrick Mahomes remains the heart of the Chiefs team and offense. He has been able to make plays out of nothing his entire career, but he has been reported to have an arm injury. It is not known if that will impact his game play this week or not, but that question mark is one that could really play out in how well the Chiefs are able to perform here.
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Atlanta Needs to Recover from a Rough Trip
Atlanta is having a rough time this year at 3-6, but also the trip to Spain was not that rewarding with a 34-17 loss. The loss was a major disappointment against a team that has allowed the offenses to move the ball almost at will. Now, the Falcons have the major issue of coming home to face a team that is able to move the ball easily.
The offense for the Falcons has been questionable all year with only 20.9 points per game and 322.7 yards per game picked up. That is not a major offense and one that will have to rely heavily on a strong defensive showing to get the win. The problem is the Falcons defense is coming off of a game that they just allowed 34 points to be scored against them.
To become competitive the Falcons will have to rely on better decision making from the quarterback position and the running game to show up. The running game could be a deciding factor as they could chew up the minutes that can keep the Chiefs offense off of the field and allow the defense to rest before having to chase down Mahomes and company.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Picks and Prediction
Spread Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -3.5
I’m taking Kansas City and laying the 3.5 points. Atlanta is at home, and the Falcons have enough offensive talent to make this interesting. But Kansas City has been moving the football much better, averaging more than 60 additional yards per game. The Chiefs also have the quarterback I trust more when the game gets tight. Atlanta just gave up 34 to Cincinnati, and I think Kansas City can create similar problems. Give me the Chiefs by a touchdown.
Total Pick: Under 45.5
I’ll take the under 45.5. Kansas City can score, but the Chiefs haven’t been consistently explosive. Atlanta is averaging only 20.9 points, and I don’t expect the Falcons to have an easy afternoon against Kansas City’s defense. The concern is Mahomes getting hot and putting up 30 by himself. That’s always possible. But I think the Chiefs will be content to control the game if they get a lead. Something around 27-17 Kansas City feels right.
Final Picks: Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 | Under 45.5
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