Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens Picks and Prediction for Monday November 16 2026
The Chargers head to Baltimore for Monday Night Football at M&T Bank Stadium. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on ESPN, with the Ravens favored by 5.5 points and the total at 38.5. The forecast looks pretty quiet, with temperatures around 44 degrees, light winds, and almost no chance of rain. This should be a good night for football. The Chargers haven’t won a game, and Baltimore hasn’t exactly been setting the league on fire either. But the Ravens have something Los Angeles hasn’t been able to find. A running game that can actually move the chains. Get ready for all the football action with our free NFL picks.
Los Angeles Is Running Out of Answers
The Chargers are 0-8 after getting hammered 44-22 by Houston on Sunday. That’s another bad result for a team that hasn’t been able to get anything going. Los Angeles has lost games in different ways, but the offense has been a problem just about every week. The Chargers have also been turning the ball over too much, and that’s a terrible combination when the defense isn’t creating enough stops.
Los Angeles is averaging only 15.1 points per game, the worst mark in football, while generating 291.6 yards. The Chargers have also managed only 13 sacks defensively, which ranks near the bottom of the league. That’s a problem against Baltimore because the Ravens want to run the football and keep the offense moving. Los Angeles needs to get pressure without giving up big plays on the ground.
Justin Herbert has thrown for 1,591 yards, but his six touchdown passes against 11 interceptions tell you how difficult this season has been. Omarion Hampton has 369 rushing yards, averaging only 3.6 per carry. That’s not enough support for a quarterback who’s already struggling. The Chargers need better protection and more dependable running production. Otherwise, Baltimore is going to spend the entire night playing with a lead.
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Baltimore Needs to Take Care of Business
Baltimore is 4-5, and the Ravens have been inconsistent. They’ve had some good moments, but the offense hasn’t been nearly as explosive as expected. Still, this is a game Baltimore should win. The Ravens are at home, and they’re facing the only winless team in football. That doesn’t guarantee anything, but it certainly makes the matchup more favorable.
Baltimore is averaging 21 points and 326.2 yards per game. The Ravens have been running for around 138 yards a night, which is where they have an advantage. Los Angeles has been struggling to generate pressure, and Baltimore should be able to keep the ball moving on the ground. The Ravens also need to avoid turnovers. They’ve been sitting at minus-two in turnover differential, and giving the Chargers extra possessions would be a good way to make this unnecessarily difficult.
Lamar Jackson has completed better than 70% of his passes in his available action, throwing six touchdowns against one interception. Derrick Henry has rushed for 689 yards and eight touchdowns, while Zay Flowers has 614 receiving yards. That’s enough offensive talent to beat Los Angeles. Baltimore needs to establish Henry early and let Jackson take advantage when the Chargers start concentrating on the run. The quarterback availability report is still important, so I’d check it before kickoff.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens Picks and Prediction
Spread Pick: Baltimore Ravens -5.5
I’m taking Baltimore and laying the 5.5 points. I know the Ravens haven’t been great, and laying almost a touchdown with a 4-5 team isn’t something I’d normally get excited about. But the Chargers are scoring only 15.1 points a game and have been turning the football over. Baltimore should be able to run the ball, control the clock, and make Los Angeles play from behind. Unless the Ravens start giving away possessions, I think they win by at least a touchdown.
Total Pick: Under 38.5
I’ll take the under 38.5. It’s a low number, and that always makes me a little nervous. Baltimore could score 30 by itself if the Chargers keep turning the ball over. But Los Angeles has been struggling to reach 20 points, and I expect Baltimore to lean on the running game. The Ravens don’t need to get into a shootout. Something around 24-10 Baltimore feels about right.
Final Picks: Baltimore Ravens -5.5 | Under 38.5
Disclaimer: Completed November 11, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, quarterback availability, and weather may change before kickoff.
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