Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Picks and Prediction for Sunday November 15 2026
Minnesota and Green Bay get together Sunday at Lambeau Field, with kickoff scheduled for 1 PM ET. The Packers are favored by 3.5 points, and the total is 42.5. The early forecast calls for temperatures in the low-to-mid 40s, light winds, and little chance of rain. Nothing particularly nasty by Green Bay standards. This is a good matchup between a Packers offense that can move the football and a Minnesota defense that’s been making life miserable for quarterbacks. I like the Vikings getting the points. That defense is too good to ignore. Get ready for all the football action with our free NFL picks.
Minnesota’s Defense Has Been Carrying the Team
Minnesota is 6-2 after losing 23-6 to Buffalo on Monday night. That was an ugly offensive performance, no getting around it. The Vikings couldn’t get anything going, and the Bills made them pay. Minnesota has still put together an excellent season, but the offense has been inconsistent. Going into Green Bay after scoring six points isn’t exactly ideal.
The Vikings are averaging 18.3 points per game and allowing only 14.5. That’s the best scoring defense in football. They’re also giving up just 280 yards a game, including only 161.1 through the air. That’s pretty impressive. Minnesota has been getting pressure without leaving its secondary exposed, and opponents haven’t been finding many easy completions. The problem is the offense. Eighteen points a game doesn’t leave much room for mistakes.
J.J. McCarthy needs a better afternoon than he had against Buffalo. Minnesota can’t keep asking its defense to win games by itself. Justin Jefferson remains the receiver Green Bay has to account for, but getting him the football requires better protection and more consistent quarterback play. Jauan Jennings has also been dealing with an injury concern. The Vikings need their offensive line to give McCarthy enough time to work. If he spends Sunday running for his life, Green Bay is going to have a good afternoon.
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Green Bay Has Been Getting the Offense Going
Green Bay is 6-3 after beating New England 45-27 on Sunday. That’s a pretty convincing performance, especially on the road. The Packers have been scoring 24 points a game, and the offense has been more dependable than Minnesota’s. Green Bay also gets this one at Lambeau, which certainly doesn’t hurt.
The Packers are allowing 20.9 points and 322.9 yards per game. Those are solid defensive numbers, but Minnesota has been much better on that side of the ball. Green Bay needs to establish the run and avoid getting stuck in third-and-long situations. That’s where Minnesota’s pass rush can take over. The Packers have enough offensive talent to move the ball, but this isn’t the defense they faced in New England.
Jordan Love has thrown for 2,618 yards, the most in the league entering this week. That’s a big reason Green Bay has been moving the football. Josh Jacobs, however, has been listed out, and that changes the running game. Without him, the Packers may have to lean more heavily on Love. That’s dangerous against a defense allowing only 161 passing yards a game. Green Bay needs somebody to provide balance.
Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Picks and Prediction
Spread Pick: Minnesota Vikings +3.5
I’m taking Minnesota and the 3.5 points. Green Bay probably has the better offense, and playing at Lambeau is a real advantage. But the Vikings have been allowing only 14.5 points per game. That’s not some ordinary defense. Minnesota can pressure Love, and with Green Bay dealing with an injury in the backfield, the Packers could have trouble establishing the run. The Vikings don’t need to win this game to cash our ticket. They just need to keep it close. I think they can.
Total Pick: Under 42.5
I like the under 42.5. Minnesota’s defense is the obvious reason, but the Vikings’ offense is part of the argument, too. They’re scoring only 18.3 a game, and they just managed six against Buffalo. Green Bay can put up points, as we saw against New England, but Minnesota is a much different defensive challenge. The concern is that Love makes a couple of big plays and forces Minnesota to open things up. Still, I think this turns into a field-position game. Something around 21-17 Green Bay feels about right.
Final Picks: Minnesota Vikings +3.5 | Under 42.5
Disclaimer: Completed November 11, 2026. Betting lines, injuries, and weather forecasts may change before kickoff.
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