New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Picks, Prediction and Best Bets for Sunday, November 1, 2026
Miami finally ended its losing streak last weekend, but the Dolphins have little time to celebrate. The New England Patriots are coming to Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday for a 4:25 PM ET kickoff on CBS. Miami remains fourth in the AFC East at 1-5 despite beating the Jets 28-25. New England sits second at 4-3 after losing 30-24 to Chicago, its first defeat in four games. The Patriots have been playing better football lately, although both teams have something to prove this weekend. See our free NFL picks.
New England Patriots
New England's offense has come a long way since managing just six points against Jacksonville in September. The Patriots responded by winning three consecutive games before Chicago stopped that run last Thursday. Drake Maye has thrown for 1,784 yards, 13 touchdowns and eight interceptions, and his ability to move the ball through the air has helped New England overcome a fairly modest running game. Rhamondre Stevenson has 285 rushing yards, with Hunter Henry contributing 296 receiving yards. The Patriots have been scoring regularly, but Maye will need to take better care of the football against Miami.
The bigger concern for New England has been stopping opponents away from home. Chicago scored 30 last Thursday, and Jacksonville put up 35 earlier in the season. Even the victory over Buffalo required the Patriots to score 29 points. Elijah Ponder has recorded 5.5 sacks, providing much of the pressure up front. Miami's passing game has struggled, though, and New England won't face the same offensive challenge it encountered against Chicago. Keeping Malik Willis from extending drives with his legs will also matter.
Injuries: TreVeyon Henderson, A.J. Brown, Morgan Moses, DaQuan Jones and Ben Brown are questionable.
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Miami Dolphins
For Miami, the win over the Jets was a welcome change after a difficult September and October. The Dolphins had scored only 10 points against Kansas City and Minnesota before putting up 24 against Cincinnati and 28 against New York. Malik Willis has thrown for 1,057 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions. Ollie Gordon II has rushed for 339 yards, while Malik Washington leads the receivers with 289 yards. Miami needs another strong offensive showing to stay close.
The Dolphins haven't had much success slowing opposing offenses. They've allowed 157 points in six games, and their pass rush has produced just six sacks. Jacob Rodriguez leads the defense with 61 tackles, while Michael Taaffe has two interceptions. New England's recent scoring makes this a difficult assignment, especially if Miami struggles to get pressure on Maye.
Injuries: Jared Wayne, Will Kacmarek, JuJu Brents, Greg Dulcich and Malik Washington are questionable.
New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction
Miami finally broke through last weekend, but the Patriots have been the better team over the past month. New England has scored at least 24 points in four straight games, and Miami's defense has struggled to keep opponents out of the end zone. The Dolphins can make things interesting on the ground, but New England has the stronger passing attack and more defensive pressure. Final Score Prediction: New England Patriots win, 30-17.
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- New England Patriots -7 (-105)
- Over 43.5 (-108)
