New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Sunday September 20 2026
Lamar Jackson looked like Superman in his first game with new head coach Jesse Minter and offensive coordinator Declan Doyle, but he better keep that cape handy, and that tension is exactly what makes Saints vs Ravens picks so interesting this week. Baltimore's receiving corps took some major hits in Week 1, while New Orleans showed real fight in a heartbreaking overtime loss in Detroit. For more matchups this week, check out our full slate of NFL picks before placing a wager.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: New Orleans Saints +7.5
- Total Pick: Over 46.5
- Projected Final Score: Ravens 27, Saints 23
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Market | Line | Public Betting ($, #) |
|---|---|---|
| Spread (New Orleans / Baltimore) | NO +7.5 (-105) / BAL -7.5 (-115) | NO 63%, BAL 56% |
| Total (Over / Under) | Over 46.5 (-110) / Under 46.5 (-110) | OV 63%, OV 82% |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | New Orleans | Baltimore | Public Betting ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/17 | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-115) | NO 63%, BAL 56% |
| 09/17 | +8.5 (-115) | -8.5 (-105) | NO 64%, BAL 57% |
| 09/17 | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-115) | NO 64%, BAL 56% |
| 09/16 | +8.5 (-115) | -8.5 (-105) | BAL 54%, BAL 55% |
| 09/16 | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-115) | BAL 54%, BAL 55% |
| 09/16 | +8.5 (-115) | -8.5 (-105) | BAL 54%, BAL 55% |
| 09/16 | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-115) | BAL 54%, BAL 55% |
| 09/16 | +8.5 (-115) | -8.5 (-105) | BAL 51%, BAL 54% |
| 09/15 | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-115) | BAL 52%, BAL 54% |
| 09/15 | +8.5 (-115) | -8.5 (-105) | BAL 52%, BAL 54% |
| 09/15 | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-115) | BAL 52%, BAL 54% |
| 09/15 | +8.5 (-115) | -8.5 (-105) | NO 64%, BAL 56% |
| 09/13 | +8.5 (-110) | -8.5 (-110) | NO 70%, NO 50% |
| 08/30 | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-110) | NO 70%, NO 50% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under | Public Betting ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/17 | 46.5 (-110) | 46.5 (-110) | OV 63%, OV 82% |
| 09/16 | 46.5 (-118) | 46.5 (-102) | OV 94%, OV 83% |
| 09/15 | 47.5 (-108) | 47.5 (-112) | OV 94%, OV 86% |
| 09/15 | 47.5 (-105) | 47.5 (-115) | OV 94%, OV 82% |
| 09/15 | 46.5 (-118) | 46.5 (-102) | OV 100%, OV 88% |
| 09/15 | 47.5 (-102) | 47.5 (-118) | OV 100%, OV 88% |
| 09/14 | 46.5 (-118) | 46.5 (-102) | OV 100%, OV 91% |
| 09/14 | 47.5 (-102) | 47.5 (-118) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 09/14 | 47.5 (-110) | 47.5 (-110) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 09/14 | 48.5 (-105) | 48.5 (-115) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 09/14 | 47.5 (-112) | 47.5 (-108) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 09/13 | 48.5 (-110) | 48.5 (-110) | OV 100%, OV 100% |
| 08/30 | 46.5 (-110) | 46.5 (-110) | N/A |
Saints vs Ravens Key Matchups and Game Preview
Ravens Receiving Corps Battered After Week 1
Lamar Jackson looked like Superman in his first game with new head coach Jesse Minter and offensive coordinator Declan Doyle, but he better keep that cape handy. Jackson finished with 324 passing yards and a touchdown on the ground, but Baltimore's receiving corps took some major hits in a 41-23 win over the Colts. Zay Flowers and talk-of-the-town rookie Ja'Kobi Lane were both unable to finish that game in Indianapolis.
Baltimore's Passing Game Thin at Receiver
Lane reportedly suffered a fractured wrist and will miss several weeks, while Flowers is dealing with a nagging hamstring injury that forced him to miss two weeks during the preseason. Devontez Walker also missed the opener due to a groin injury, so Jackson does not have too many healthy options in the passing game entering this matchup.
NO Rallies Late Despite Slow Start
Starting quarterback Tyler Shough did not take a single snap during the preseason under head coach Kellen Moore, which was also the case for almost every other Saints starter. New Orleans did not score a point in the first half against the Lions, and the Saints' first eight possessions featured two interceptions, one fumble and five punts.
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Saints Show Fight in Overtime Loss
Once the Saints realized they were in a football game, they scored on four straight possessions to send the game to overtime, where they eventually fell by a point. New Orleans' offense is good enough to knock down the back door in the latter stages of a contest, much like it did last week in the Motor City.
Ravens Ground Game Poised to Roll
Jackson and Derrick Henry will likely enjoy plenty of success on the ground in this one. If Flowers is unable to go, the Saints' defense will likely be able to crowd the line of scrimmage in a way that Indianapolis could not do last week out of respect for the speed of Flowers and Lane.
Betting Trends: NO vs BAL
- Baltimore won its opener 41-23 over Indianapolis behind 324 passing yards and a rushing touchdown from Lamar Jackson.
- New Orleans trailed at halftime without scoring a point before rallying to force overtime, ultimately losing by one point.
- The Saints' first eight possessions of the season included two interceptions, one fumble and five punts.
- New Orleans scored on four straight possessions once the offense found its rhythm against Detroit.
- The spread has moved between New Orleans +7.5 and +8.5 throughout the week, currently settling at +7.5.
- The total has moved between 46.5 and 48.5 over the course of the week, currently settling at 46.5 with heavy public backing on the Over.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: NO and BAL
- Ja'Kobi Lane suffered a fractured wrist in Week 1 and is expected to miss several weeks.
- Zay Flowers is managing a nagging hamstring injury that also cost him two weeks of the preseason.
- Devontez Walker missed the season opener with a groin injury.
- Lamar Jackson finished Week 1 with 324 passing yards and a rushing touchdown despite the receiver injuries around him.
- Tyler Shough and most of New Orleans' starters did not play at all during the preseason under Kellen Moore.
Saints vs Ravens Side and Over/Under Picks
- Spread: New Orleans Saints +7.5
- Total: Over 46.5
With Baltimore's receiving corps thinned out by injuries to Zay Flowers, Ja'Kobi Lane and Devontez Walker, Jackson's passing options are limited, which keeps this number from getting out of hand even with Derrick Henry expected to have success on the ground. New Orleans has already shown it can score in bunches once it settles in, and that late-game offensive spark, paired with Baltimore's own scoring punch, supports the Over.
Final Score Prediction
- Baltimore Ravens: 27
- New Orleans Saints: 23
Expect Jackson and Henry to do enough damage on the ground to secure the win, but New Orleans' late-game offensive surge, similar to what was seen in Detroit, keeps this one inside the number.
How to Wager On Saints vs Ravens
Bettors looking to shop for the best number on Saints vs Ravens have several tools available before placing a wager. Comparing the spread and total across multiple sportsbooks can help secure better value than settling for a single closing line, especially with injury news still developing at receiver for Baltimore. For those who want an extra layer of analysis before betting this matchup, our AI picks breakdown is a useful starting point. Bettors can also dig deeper with our Dimers review and Oddible review to see how different models project this matchup before locking in a side, total, or player prop.
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