New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks & Prediction Sunday, December 28, 2025
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The New York Giants head to Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada to take on the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, December 28, 2025, with kickoff set for 4:05 PM ET on CBS. This is an indoor game, so even though the outside listing shows about 52°, weather shouldn’t be a factor. What will matter is which team is more willing to play clean football in a matchup between two clubs sitting at the bottom of the standings. For more games and daily betting breakdowns, be sure to check out our free NFL picks.
Giants Searching for Anything Stable on the Road
The Giants come into this one at 2-13 overall and a brutal 0-8 on the road, and they’re still looking for a consistent formula week-to-week. Over their last five games, New York is 0-5, and even when they’ve been competitive, they haven’t been able to finish. Last week they dropped a tight one to Minnesota 16-13, and before that they lost to Washington 29-21, New England 33-15, and Detroit 34-27 in OT, plus a 27-20 loss to Green Bay. In other words, they’ve had moments, but not enough full-game execution to turn those moments into wins.
Statistically, New York has leaned on its rookie quarterback production and a short-to-intermediate passing game to keep things functional. Jaxson Dart leads the team with 1,835 passing yards and a tidy 13 TD / 5 INT line, while Tyrone Tracy Jr. tops the rushing chart at 575 yards. The passing game’s most consistent chain-mover has been Wan’Dale Robinson (901 yards, 4 TD). Defensively, the Giants have had real pass-rush presence with Brian Burns (15 sacks), and Bobby Okereke (130 tackles) shows how often they’ve been forced into long defensive series.
The injury report is meaningful because it hits the Giants at premium defensive positions and on the offensive line. Andrew Thomas (questionable) is the big one—if he’s limited or out, it changes protection and play-calling. On defense, Deonte Banks and Cor’Dale Flott are both questionable in the secondary, and Rakeem Nunez-Roches is questionable up front. For a team that already struggles to string together stops, missing multiple DBs can be the difference between “competitive” and “leaky.”
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Raiders in a Familiar Spot: Competitive Early, Fading Late
The Raiders are also 2-13 overall, and while they’ve been slightly better at home (1-6), it hasn’t translated into any real momentum. They’ve lost five straight, and the last five results show a team that’s had trouble scoring and closing: a 23-21 loss to Houston, a 31-0 shutout loss to Philadelphia, then losses to Denver 24-17, the Chargers 31-14, and Cleveland 24-10. That’s a lot of games where they’re either getting blanked or falling behind and never really threatening late.
From a stats perspective, Las Vegas has leaned on veteran quarterback play and a run game that tries to keep them from becoming one-dimensional. Geno Smith leads with 2,849 passing yards and an 18 TD / 15 INT line, while rookie back Ashton Jeanty has been the most productive rusher with 828 yards. The receiving group has been shaken up, but even with injuries, the Raiders still have a key mismatch piece in the season numbers with Brock Bowers having 7 TD (though his current status matters a lot). Defensively, the Raiders’ identity starts with pressure, and Maxx Crosby is still their headline disruptor when he’s healthy enough to go.
That said, injuries are a huge part of the handicap for Las Vegas this week. Brock Bowers is on IR (knee), and losing that kind of red-zone and third-down option shrinks the offence quickly. Jeremy Chinn is also on IR, and Maxx Crosby is questionable (knee)—which is massive because if Crosby is limited, the Raiders lose their best way to speed up the Giants’ young quarterback. Raheem Mostert is also questionable, and with Jordan Meredith on IR, there are multiple points where depth becomes an issue.
New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction
I’m taking Giants -1.5 ATS, and I’m doing it because I think New York is the side with the cleaner path to controlling the game. In my eyes, this comes down to who can avoid the self-inflicted mistakes, and I trust the Giants’ current quarterback efficiency more than I trust the Raiders’ turnover profile. Geno’s TD/INT numbers tell you there’s volatility baked into the Raiders’ passing game, and if Crosby is anything less than full-go, Las Vegas may not have the pass-rush teeth needed to consistently disrupt Dart. In a game between two 2-13 teams, I’m siding with the team that looks a little steadier at the most important position.
For the total, I lean Under 41.5. My reason is simple: these are two offences that have struggled to finish drives, and with Las Vegas missing Bowers (and potentially limited in the backfield), it’s harder to see them consistently reaching the mid-20s. On the Giants’ side, their most likely approach is to play controlled, avoid turnovers, and take points when they’re there—which tends to keep the tempo reasonable. Unless we get a defensive touchdown or a fluky short-field game, I see more punts than fireworks. Betting on sports and on the Giants is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Raiders with the social sportsbooks. Getting the most out of your bets on Giants vs Raiders can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
Final Score Prediction: Giants 20 – Raiders 17
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