New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Picks and Predictions for Sunday October 11 2026
The New York Giants visit the Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland, on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET. New York enters at 2-2 after beating Arizona 36-24, while Washington fell to 1-3 following a 30-13 loss to Indianapolis in London. The Commanders return home needing a response after a difficult international trip. Be sure to check out our free NFL picks for more NFL predictions throughout the season.
New York Is Starting to Find Something
The Giants have recovered nicely from an 0-2 start. New York has won consecutive games, with Sunday’s 36-24 victory over Arizona easily its best offensive performance of the season.
That’s important because the Giants can’t expect their defense to win every game. Showing they can generate points gives New York a much more sustainable path, particularly against a Washington team that has struggled to prevent opponents from controlling games.
The question is whether New York can carry that offense onto the road. Two wins don’t suddenly eliminate every concern, but the Giants enter this matchup moving in a much better direction than Washington.
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Washington Returns From a Difficult London Trip
Washington’s 30-13 loss to Indianapolis dropped the Commanders to 1-3 and continued a frustrating start. They now have to return from London and prepare for a divisional matchup against a team that has won two straight.
The international travel is another complication. Washington needs to correct its offensive issues while dealing with a shorter and less conventional recovery week than New York.
Divisional games can change quickly, and Washington being at home keeps this competitive. Still, the Commanders haven’t done enough through four games to deserve automatic trust simply because they’re playing at Northwest Stadium.
New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Picks and Predictions
Pick: New York Giants ATS
I’m taking the points with New York. The Giants have won two straight and just scored 36 against Arizona, while Washington is 1-3 and returning from a 17-point loss in London. The Commanders also have to navigate the travel and recovery situation. New York doesn’t necessarily need to win outright for this bet to cash, and its improving offense gives the Giants a legitimate chance to do exactly that.
Pick: Under
The Under is the total pick. New York’s 36-point performance was encouraging, but I don’t want to assume that immediately becomes the Giants’ normal offensive level. Washington scored only 13 last week and should prioritize avoiding another loose game after returning from London. A divisional matchup with both teams still trying to establish offensive consistency points me toward the Under.
Final Picks: New York Giants ATS and Under
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