NFL Parlay for Sunday 12/7/25
Sunday’s NFL slate includes a mix of divisional tension and two teams desperate to salvage their seasons. After breaking down the matchup stats, injuries, trends, and ESPN analytics, here is your best 2-leg NFL parlay for Week 14.
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NFL Parlay
- Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers – Packers -7 (EVEN)
- Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings – Vikings +1.5 (-115)
Leg 1 – Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers
The NFC North once again runs through Lambeau Field, and Sunday’s showdown between Chicago and Green Bay carries major playoff implications. The Bears enter at 9–3, riding a five-game winning streak—including a big 24–15 win over Philadelphia. But despite Chicago’s run, this matchup presents several red flags for the road team.
Chicago’s injuries are significant:
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Rome Odunze – OUT
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Tyrique Stevenson – OUT
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Ruben Hyppolite II – OUT
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Roschon Johnson – IR
The loss of their WR1 (Odunze) removes their top big-play threat, and the absence of Stevenson weakens an already vulnerable secondary.
Meanwhile, the Packers enter at 8–3–1, winners of three straight and undefeated in their last four. Jordan Love is playing his best football of the season with 2,794 yards, 19 TDs, and just 3 INTs, and Green Bay’s balanced offense is showing signs of becoming one of the NFC’s most efficient attacks.
The Packers’ defense also enters this matchup with momentum, allowing only 24 total points in their last two games combined. Micah Parsons (12.5 sacks) continues to disrupt opposing quarterbacks, and Chicago’s offensive line has shown cracks when facing elite pressure.
This is also a Lambeau game in 17-degree weather, which historically favors Green Bay both schematically and psychologically.
The matchup predictor gives the Packers a 69.1% chance to win, and given Chicago’s injury situation and the Packers’ current form, Green Bay covering -7 is the strongest angle.
Make sure you check out the full Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers pick.
Leg 2 – Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings
Both teams enter this matchup in freefall, but the Vikings at home offer much more stability, especially given Washington’s profile.
The Commanders have lost five straight, and their offense has completely stalled under Marcus Mariota. Washington scores just 13, 14, 22, 13, and 26 points in their last five games, and they have struggled to move the ball consistently due to turnovers, poor third-down execution, and an injury-ravaged offensive line.
Washington’s defensive injuries are also piling up:
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Drake Jackson – OUT
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George Fant – OUT
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Marshon Lattimore – IR
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Trey Amos – IR
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Bobby Wagner – QUESTIONABLE
A defense that already ranked near the bottom in passing yards allowed is now without its most important corner and possibly its leading tackler.
Minnesota isn’t in great shape either at 4–8, but they’ve played competitive football at home and still have an elite WR in Justin Jefferson (799 yards). Jordan Mason has stepped up as a reliable RB with 578 yards and 5 TDs, and Minnesota’s defense—despite injuries—still brings pressure and creates disruption.
The Vikings’ last two games were tough losses (26–0 to Seattle, 23–6 to Green Bay), but those came against surging teams. Washington is not in that category.
Game advantages for Minnesota:
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Home field (U.S. Bank Stadium remains one of the toughest environments in football)
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Healthier roster
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Better running game
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More stable defensive unit
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Far more upside offensively
The matchup predictor actually favors Washington narrowly (56.8%), but the on-field matchup, health, and recent performances strongly point toward Minnesota +1.5.
Check out the full Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings pick.
Final Parlay Thoughts
A parlay only hits when each leg connects, but Sunday’s slate offers two strong betting opportunities. Green Bay has the momentum, home weather advantage, and matchup edge over a wounded Bears squad, while Minnesota’s defense and home field give them a clear edge over a struggling Commanders team.
If both favorites perform to expectations, this Week 14 parlay carries excellent value.
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