Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Picks, Predictions, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday December 20 2025
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Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders picks headline the Week 16 NFC East slate as bettors searching for NFL picks break down a matchup that has been lopsided in recent seasons. This is the first of two meetings between these division rivals, with Philadelphia entering as a sizable road favorite against a Washington team that has made a major quarterback change.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Eagles -5.5
- Total Pick: Under 44
- Projected Final Score: Eagles 27, Commanders 13
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | -5.5 (-115) | Under 44 (-105) |
| Washington | +5.5 (-105) | Over 44 (-115) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Philadelphia | Washington |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/15 | 03:27:02PM | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-110) |
| 12/15 | 03:26:45PM | -5.5 (-122) | +5.5 (+100) |
| 12/15 | 07:01:38AM | -5.5 (-115) | +5.5 (-105) |
| 12/14 | 07:07:03PM | -5.5 (-115) | +5.5 (-105) |
| 12/09 | 06:00:13PM | -4.5 (-115) | +4.5 (-105) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/15 | 03:28:49PM | 44 (-105) | 44 (-115) |
| 12/15 | 07:01:39AM | 44 (-115) | 44 (-105) |
| 12/14 | 06:31:03PM | 44 (-110) | 44 (-110) |
| 12/09 | 06:00:14PM | 45 (-110) | 45 (-110) |
Key Matchups and Game Preview
This is the first meeting of the season between these NFC East foes, who will see each other again in Week 18. Philadelphia has controlled the series recently, winning seven of the last nine matchups, including a 55-23 blowout in the NFC Championship Game last season. Five of the last six meetings have gone over the total, but this version of the Commanders looks very different.
Washington announced earlier this week that rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been shut down for the remainder of the season. That hands the offense to Marcus Mariota, who led an efficient performance in last week’s road win over the Giants, highlighted by a 51-yard touchdown pass to Terry McLaurin. While Mariota is arguably one of the league’s best backup quarterbacks, this offense still faces a steep uphill climb against a motivated Philadelphia team.
The Eagles snapped a three-game losing streak in dominant fashion with a 31-0 home win over the Raiders. Philadelphia posted a +4.1 yards per play differential and a 27-7 edge in first downs, making it one of the most one-sided performances of the week. Jalen Hurts also showed more willingness to use his legs, rushing seven times for 39 yards.
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While Philadelphia’s offense has had its struggles at times this season, most of those issues have come against upper-tier defenses. Washington does not fit that profile. The Commanders enter Week 16 ranked No. 31 in EPA per play allowed, No. 27 in success rate allowed, and dead last in EPA per drop-back allowed. Even if Washington can move the ball in spurts, its defense is unlikely to hold up for four quarters.
Betting Trends (PHI and WAS)
- Philadelphia has won seven of the last nine meetings against Washington.
- Five of the last six head-to-head matchups have gone over the total.
- Philadelphia’s last six games have all stayed under the total.
- Public betting percentages heavily favor Philadelphia on the spread.
Key Injuries and Things To Know (PHI and WAS)
- Washington: QB Jayden Daniels shut down for the season.
- Washington: Marcus Mariota expected to start at quarterback.
- Philadelphia: No major new injuries entering Week 16.
Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side: Eagles -5.5
- Total: Under 44
Final Score Prediction
Eagles 27, Commanders 13
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