Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Picks and Predictions for Sunday December 7 2025
The AFC North heats up again Sunday as the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to face the Baltimore Ravens — a rivalry that has delivered some of the NFL’s most physical and low-scoring battles for nearly two decades.
With both teams trending toward the under and offensive injuries mounting, this matchup projects as another defensive slugfest. Below we break down everything you need: odds, line movement, key matchups, and our final Steelers vs Ravens prediction. For more expert breakdowns, visit our latest NFL picks.
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TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Steelers +6.5
- Total Pick: Under 43.5
- Projected Final Score: Ravens 20, Steelers 17
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Rob Vincilleti | +2,063.00 |
| 3 |  David Hess | +1,865.00 |
| 4 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,830.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +986.00 |
| Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | +6.5 | 43.5 | — |
| Baltimore | -6.5 | — |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Pittsburgh | Baltimore | Public (%,$) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01 | 6.5/-105 | -6.5/-115 | BAL 62%, 55% |
| 12/01 | 6.5/-115 | -6.5/-105 | BAL 76%, 57% |
| 11/30 | 6.5/-110 | -6.5/-110 | — |
| 11/30 | 6.5/-115 | -6.5/-105 | — |
| 11/29 | 6.5/-115 | -6.5/-105 | — |
| 11/28 | 5.5/-102 | -5.5/-120 | — |
| 11/27 | 6.5/-128 | -6.5/+108 | — |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under | Public (%,$) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03 | 43.5/-110 | 43.5/-110 | u89%, u88% |
| 12/03 | 42.5/-115 | 42.5/-105 | u89%, u86% |
| 12/02 | 43.5/-122 | 43.5/+100 | u91%, u81% |
| 12/01 | 44.5/-104 | 44.5/-118 | u92%, u93% |
| 11/30 | 45/-120 | 45/+118 | — |
| 11/29 | 46/-105 | 46/-105 | — |
| 11/27 | 47/+104 | 47/-128 | — |
Key Matchups and Game Preview
The Ravens and Steelers meet again in a rivalry that almost always leans defensive — and recent trends reinforce that expectation. Nine of the last ten meetings have stayed under the total, with those games averaging just 34.1 combined points. Pittsburgh has not topped 20 points in any of those matchups.
Offensively, Baltimore is in crisis mode. Lamar Jackson’s post-injury slump has become undeniable, and the Ravens’ five turnovers last week — including multiple sacks and strip-attempt pressures against a weak Cincinnati defense — proved alarming. Baltimore’s red-zone defense was outstanding (1-for-6 allowed), but asking it to repeat that effort after being on the field for nearly 39 minutes is an unsustainable path.
Detroit’s struggles last week further spotlight Baltimore’s weakening offensive line, and this week the Ravens must deal with a Pittsburgh front seven that thrives in low-scoring, field-position games. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh’s offense remains conservative but avoids big mistakes; the Steelers are content grinding games below 40 points and forcing opponents to play their pace.
With weather, injuries, and historical trends all favoring a defensive script, this projects as another bruising AFC North meeting with limited explosive plays.
Betting Trends — PIT vs BAL
- PIT: Four of last five games have stayed under the total.
- BAL: Four of last five games have stayed under the total.
- Head-to-Head: Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.
- Average total points in last 10 matchups: 34.1
Key Injuries and Things To Know — PIT vs BAL
- Baltimore: Lamar Jackson playing through lingering issues; OL banged up but Trevon Diggs expected to return.
- Pittsburgh: No major new injuries, defensive core intact.
- Both teams trending toward defensive availability and offensive limitations.
Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side: Steelers +6.5
- Total: Under 43.5
Final Score Prediction
Ravens 20, Steelers 17
This spread is too wide for a matchup historically decided by one score, and both teams’ recent form reinforces another under-heavy game script.
Stats to Know for Steelers vs Ravens
- Pittsburgh has not scored more than 20 points in its last 10 games vs Baltimore.
- Baltimore averaging just 39.6 total points per game in Jackson’s last five starts.
- Steelers games have averaged 37.2 total points this season.
- Ravens defense ranks top-10 in red-zone stops over the last month.
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