Same Game Parlay for Commanders/Packers - Best Bets for TNF

By: Devin Erickson-Sheehy Updated 10/30/2025, 12:18 PM ET

Looking to lock in some value for tonight’s Commanders vs Packers showdown? We’ve built a three-leg Same Game Parlay for Thursday Night Football that combines a moneyline winner, a quarterback rushing prop, and a total play that leans into how these teams match up.

Put together, these selections deliver strong value at +499 at FanDuel.

SGP for Commanders/Packers:

Packers Moneyline (-164)

Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers

Subscribe Now

I authorize Picks And Parlays to send me promotional emails

I understand that I can unsubscribe at any time. I have read and accepted the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy. I consent that Picks And Parlays may use third-party services to process my data.
Terms & Conditions
Jayden Daniels Over 44.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Under 48.5 Total Points (-105)

Check out our NFL picks for all Week 2 action here at Picks & Parlays, and follow along all season!

Why We Like Packers Moneyline

The Packers moneyline (-164) show value as a parlay leg in the trusty confines of Lambeau Field. Under head coach Matt LaFleur, Green Bay has posted a dominant 39-12 home record. We like backing a trusted home side in an early Thursday Night game.

Quarterback Jordan Love looked sharp in Week 1, playing turnover-free football while balancing the passing attack with a steady ground game. Against a Commanders defense still finding its footing, Green Bay’s early tempo and raucous home crowd should give them the upper hand in this primetime matchup.

Why We like Daniels Over 44.5 Rushing Yards

Washington rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels brings a dynamic rushing element to this contest. With a line set at 44.5 rushing yards, oddsmakers recognize his ability to impact games with his legs.

The Packers’ pass rush forces quarterbacks off-script, often pushing them into scramble situations. Daniels is perfectly suited to exploit those breakdowns, and if the Commanders fall behind, he’ll likely tuck and run even more. Analytical projections back the over, making this one of the sharper prop angles on the board.

Why We Like Under 48.5

Despite both teams earning strong Week 1 wins, the total of 48.5 points feels inflated. Washington’s defense suffocated the Giants, holding them to just six points, while Green Bay prefers a slower pace at home, especially if they're protecting a lead.

Sharp betting action has already tilted toward the under, and both coaching staffs are likely to emphasize adjustments that limit explosive plays. Expect a tighter, grind-it-out style game that falls just short of the number.

Betting on the NFL?

Be sure to look our our list of the best NFL online sportsbooks
Grow your bankroll by claiming one of our favorite NFL sportsbook promo codes

Min. Deposit $5

Cashable No

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (Available in the US) 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

Requirement New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days. (Up to $1,000 Bet Reset Tokens)

Cashable No

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. GamblingHelplineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). 21+ (18+ DC, IA, KY, WV) only. New users only or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Casino, First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Min $5 wager required for 5 consecutive days. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Bet Reset tokens. Refund from token issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bet that expire 7 days after receipt. Max refund $200 per day. Restrictions apply, including token expiration. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook. Call 1-877-770-7867 (LA).

Min. Deposit $5

Odds Requirements -500

Cashable No

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 7/19/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.