Same Game Parlay for Dolphins vs Bills on Thursday Night Football
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Thursday Night Football brings us an AFC East tilt with the Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills.
Bettors searching for a same game parlay for Dolphins vs Bills will find plenty of sharp angles and NFL picks on both player props and game totals.
Below is a three-leg Dolphins vs Bills same game parlay designed to maximize value based on current data and matchup trends.
Three-Leg SGP for Dolphins at Bills
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James Cook Over 69.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
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Jaylen Waddle Under 47.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
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Under 50.5 Total Points (-105)
Let’s break down why these selections make sense for your Dolphins Bills SGP.
Same Game Parlay for Dolphins/Bills Leg #1
- James Cook over 69.5 rushing yards
James Cook has quickly emerged as a focal point of Buffalo’s backfield in 2025. After a quiet Week 1 against Baltimore’s solid run defense, Cook erupted for 132 rushing yards versus the Jets.
Removing last year’s limited Week 18 workload, Cook has topped this mark in six of his last eight full games, with advanced models projecting him around 14 rushing yards higher than this total.
The spot is ideal. Miami’s run defense ranks 25th in the league, giving up more than 139 rushing yards per contest through the first 2 weeks.
On a short week, expect Buffalo to lean heavily on Cook, especially as we project the Bills run away with this early and build up a lead. Look for a high dosage of Cook and expect him to go over this number.
SGP for Miami/Buffalo Leg #2
- Jaylen Waddle under 47.5 receiving yards
Jaylen Waddle’s explosiveness makes him a popular betting target, but the Dolphins Wideout struggles against Buffalo are well-documented. In his last three games versus the Bills, Waddle has failed to surpass 47 yards a single time.
His most recent outing against Buffalo saw him limited to just two catches for -4 yards.
The Bills’ secondary was suffocating last week against the Jets, holding them under 90 passing yards. Look for their defensive scheme to neutralize Waddle’s deep-threat ability, forcing shorter, lower-efficiency routes.
Thursday Night Football SGP Leg #3
- Under 50.5 points scored
 The Bills’ defense looked awful in Week 1 against Baltimore but responded in a big way last week against the Jets. Even on a short week we expect an effort closer to Week 2 playing at home against a floundering Dolphins squad.
Tua Tagovailoa’s performance against zone coverage has been concerning, with negative expected points added and three interceptions already this year.
If Miami falls behind, we expect a heavy dosage of ground and pound from Buffalo with long possessions that drain the clock. While we expect the Bills to score in the high 20's or low 30's, we don't see the Dolphins up to the task here.
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