Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Picks and Prediction for Thursday November 12 2026
The Washington Commanders the Hew New York Giants played to a tie in October at 27-27. Now, they are set to have another epic battle on Thursday night in East Rutherford, New Jersey at MetLife Stadium. The game has an 8:15 PM ET kickoff scheduled on Prime Video. The Giants are coming to the game sitting at -2.5 points favorites and the total sits at 41.5 points. Be sure to get ready for all the NFL action with our free NFL picks.
Washington Has Been Making Things Harder Than They Need to Be
The Commanders are sitting on a 2-5-1 record, but that comes after losing on Sunday to the Rams by a score of 20-13. In their last 5 games the Commanders have only ended up getting one win and that was a 27-10 win over the Eagles. The good news is the losses the Commanders have picked up were not blowouts or anything to be ashamed of.
The offense for the Commanders is not horrible, but not that great either with 21.5 points game. Defensively the Commanders are not doing that hot giving up 25.3 points per game and that does not lead to a lot of wins when you give up 4 more points per game than you score. Against the Rams, the most recent loss, the Washington team only managed to get 3 points in the second half of the game. The defense for Washington has also allowed to many extra chances for the opponents by not getting off the field.
Jayden Daniels is the one reason why the Commanders do have a chance of picking up the win. He can make something happen out of nothing once the play starts to fall apart, but his left elbow has landed him on the injury report. However, he was able to fully practice on Monday. Treylon Books has a foot injury and Lucas Patrick has been dealing with a concussion.
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New York Has Been Finding Ways to Win
For all their struggles on the season the Giants are still sitting in first place in the NFC East with a 5-2-1 mark on the year. The last game that improved the Giants to that mark was a 19-11 win over the Eagles on Sunday. The win was the second in a row for New York who also beat the Texans by a score of 27-21.
The offense for New York is doing slightly better than the Commanders getting 22.8 points per game. However, the big difference comes from the fact that the Giants defense is giving up only 21.5 points per game. That is better than Washington both sides of the ball. What is really impressive is how the Giants have been effective at forcing opponents into the third and long and then stopping the conversion.
One issue that the Giants do have coming into the game here is the status of J.J. McCarthy who suffered a hip injury in the win over Philadelphia. Cam Skattebo has also been dealing with an injury and another weapon Darnell Mooney has been dealing with a chest injury. On the plus side Malik Nabers has been showing up big for the Giants with 48 catches and 605 yards with 2 scores.
Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Picks and Prediction
Spread Pick: Washington Commanders +2.5
I’m taking Washington and the 2.5 points. I know the Giants have the better record, and they’ve been playing better football. But these teams tied 27-27 a month ago, and I don’t see enough separating them to get excited about laying points. Daniels gives Washington a chance to make something happen when the offense gets stuck, and the Commanders have been taking better care of the football than New York. The Giants could absolutely win this game, especially if their defense keeps Washington out of the end zone. But in a divisional game with bad weather and a short week, I’ll take the points.
Total Pick: Under 41.5
I’ll take the under 41.5. Washington just scored 13 against Los Angeles, and New York scored 19 against Philadelphia. Neither offense has been particularly explosive. Add rain, a wet football, and the possibility of some gusty winds, and I don’t see a great reason to expect a shootout. The first meeting finished 27-27, so there’s obviously some danger here. But I think both teams will be more conservative this time, particularly if the weather gets worse. A 20-17 Giants win wouldn’t surprise me. Washington covers, and the under cashes.
Final Picks: Washington Commanders +2.5 | Under 41.5
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