Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for December 14, 2025

By: Josh Collacchi Published 12/11/2025, 01:45 PM ET
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Washington Commanders vs New York Giants prediction for this NFC East matchup between two struggling teams trying to stop lengthy losing streaks. Below you’ll find live odds, movement history, key matchup analysis and betting picks. For more expert breakdowns, check the latest NFL picks.

TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Side: New York Giants -2.5
  • Total: Over 46
  • Projected Final Score: Giants 27, Commanders 23
  • Best Bet Lean: Over 46

Odds and Line Movement

Washington has dominated recent meetings, winning and covering each of the last three including a 21-6 victory earlier this season. But both teams enter this matchup on prolonged losing streaks. The Giants come off a late-season bye looking to snap a seven-game skid, while the Commanders have lost eight straight and continue battling key injuries at quarterback and tight end. Early money has shown on the over, consistent with recent scoring trends for both teams.

Current Odds

Market Washington Commanders New York Giants
Spread +2.5 (-110) -2.5 (-110)
Total Over 46 (-110) Under 46 (-110)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Washington N.Y. Giants Public ($, #)
12/10 07:25:52PM +2.5 (-110) -2.5 (-110) NYG 70%, 70%
12/09 05:17:11AM +2.5 (-112) -2.5 (-108) NYG 90%, 71%
12/08 07:02:04AM +2.5 (-110) -2.5 (-110)
12/08 07:01:36AM +2.5 (-110) -2.5 (-110)
12/07 06:20:36PM +2.5 (-105) -2.5 (-115)
12/07 06:40:33PM +2.5 (-105) -2.5 (-115)
12/07 06:39:40PM +1.5 (-105) -1.5 (-115)
12/07 06:38:46PM +1.5 (-110) -1.5 (-110)
12/07 12:55:57PM +1.5 (-118) -1.5 (-104)
12/04 06:24:07AM -2.5 (-102) +2.5 (-120)
12/04 06:18:01AM -2.5 (-102) +2.5 (-120)
12/04 06:15:34AM -2.5 (-102) +2.5 (-120)
12/02 05:48:16AM -2.5 (-102) +2.5 (-120)
12/02 01:49:27PM -2.5 (-102) +2.5 (-120)
12/02 01:32:20PM -2.5 (-102) +2.5 (-120)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
12/10 01:32:38PM 46.5 o(-120) 46.5 u(-102) o93%, e60%
12/10 01:32:28PM 46.5 o(-118) 46.5 u(-104) o93%, e60%
12/10 12:18:05PM 46 o(-118) 46 u(-102) o89%, o60%
12/10 12:17:54PM 46 o(-118) 46 u(-102) o93%, o60%
12/09 05:15:58AM 46 o(-115) 46 u(-105) o90%, o71%
12/08 07:02:04AM 47 o(-105) 47 u(-115)
12/07 04:46:34AM 47 o(-105) 47 u(-115)
12/07 12:55:57PM 47 o(-115) 47 u(-105)
12/04 06:24:07AM 47 o(-115) 47 u(-105)
12/04 06:18:02AM 47 o(-115) 47 u(-105)
12/04 06:15:57AM 47 o(-115) 47 u(-105)
12/02 05:48:17AM 47 o(-110) 47 u(-110)
12/02 01:32:20PM 47 o(-110) 47 u(-110)

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Key Matchups and Game Preview

Washington may own the head-to-head edge this season, but both teams limp into this matchup with major concerns. The Giants return from a late bye seeking their first win in nearly two months, while the Commanders stretch their losing streak to eight after a 31-0 defeat in Minnesota.

New York expects rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart to continue starting despite taking several significant hits in recent weeks. The Giants’ offense has been inconsistent but has hit overs in seven of the last eight games, signaling improved scoring pace—at least compared to their early-season slump.

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Washington’s injury situation remains troubling. Jayden Daniels attempted to return from an arm injury but could not finish last week’s game. Marcus Mariota projects as a capable fill-in given Daniels cannot go, and he has been one of the league’s better backup quarterbacks. Even so, the Commanders gained just 206 total yards last week and turned the ball over three times. Losing veteran tight end Zach Ertz to a season-ending knee injury strips away one of their most reliable pass catchers and locker room leaders.

Defensively, Washington’s struggles have been remarkable—seven of their last eight opponents have scored at least 25 points. That trend aligns with the Giants’ offensive uptick, and with both defenses healthier in name only, this matchup leans toward another high-scoring affair.

  • Washington has won-and-covered three straight meetings.
  • Giants have lost seven in a row.
  • Seven of New York’s last eight games have gone over the total.
  • Seven of Washington’s last eight opponents have scored 25+ points.
  • Commanders coming off an eight-game losing streak, including last week’s 31-0 loss.

WAS vs NYG Key Injuries and Things To Know

  • Jayden Daniels (arm) out
  • Zach Ertz (knee) out for the season.
  • Jaxson Dart expected to continue as Giants’ starter despite multiple recent hits.
  • Marcus Mariota remains a strong backup option if Daniels sits.
  • Both offenses are healthier than their defenses entering this matchup.

Side and Over/Under Picks

Commanders vs Giants Side Pick

  • Pick: New York Giants -2.5
  • Why: The Giants return from a bye with a cleaner injury outlook and have shown more offensive stability of late. Washington’s defensive collapse and turnover issues make it difficult to back the Commanders as road underdogs.

Commanders vs Giants Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 46
  • Why: Both defenses have struggled badly, and New York has cashed overs in seven of its last eight games. Washington has surrendered 25 or more points in seven of its last eight contests, creating a strong setup for another high-scoring result.

Commanders vs Giants Final Score Prediction

Projected Final Score: New York Giants 27, Washington Commanders 23

New York snaps its losing streak, while Washington’s defensive issues persist in a matchup that leans toward fireworks on the scoreboard.

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