Ipswich Town vs Liverpool Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday September 4 2026
The Liverpool vs Ipswich Town prediction for Friday's Premier League clash has an early-season test on tap at Portman Road, with kickoff set for 3:00 PM ET. For more coverage like this, check out our full slate of EPL predictions before locking in any bets on this matchup.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Moneyline Pick: Ipswich Town +1.5 (-195)
- Total Pick: Over 3.5 (+125)
- Projected Final Score: Liverpool 3, Ipswich Town 2
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | -180 | 3.5 |
| Ipswich Town | +1.5 (-195) | |
| Draw | N/A |
Line Movement - Moneyline
| Date | Liverpool | Ipswich Town | Draw | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | -178 | +417 | +367 | LIVERPOOL 94%, 94% |
| 09/01 | -178 | +417 | +367 | LIVERPOOL 91%, 87% |
| 09/01 | -178 | +417 | +367 | LIVERPOOL 94%, 90% |
| 09/01 | -177 | +418 | +365 | LIVERPOOL 91%, 91% |
| 09/01 | -175 | +412 | +364 | LIVERPOOL 93%, 92% |
| 08/31 | -175 | +412 | +362 | LIVERPOOL 89%, 92% |
| 08/31 | -175 | +412 | +362 | LIVERPOOL 91%, 91% |
| 08/31 | -175 | +412 | +362 | LIVERPOOL 89%, 94% |
| 08/31 | -172 | +411 | +357 | LIVERPOOL 90%, 95% |
| 08/31 | -172 | +411 | +357 | LIVERPOOL 91%, 95% |
| 08/31 | -173 | +411 | +357 | LIVERPOOL 91%, 95% |
| 08/31 | -172 | +410 | +357 | LIVERPOOL 91%, 95% |
| 08/31 | -172 | +410 | +357 | LIVERPOOL 90%, 95% |
| 08/31 | -172 | +410 | +357 | LIVERPOOL 93%, 94% |
| 08/31 | -172 | +410 | +357 | LIVERPOOL 92%, 91% |
| 08/31 | -172 | +410 | +357 | LIVERPOOL 88%, 94% |
| 08/31 | -172 | +410 | +357 | LIVERPOOL 93%, 90% |
| 08/31 | -169 | +405 | +353 | LIVERPOOL 90%, 88% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | 3o-137 | 3u+113 |
| 09/01 | 3o-135 | 3u+111 |
| 08/31 | 3o-137 | 3u+113 |
| 08/31 | 3o-122 | 3u+101 |
| 08/31 | 3o-121 | 3u+100 |
| 08/31 | 3o-122 | 3u+101 |
| 08/31 | 3o-119 | 3u-102 |
| 08/31 | 3o-118 | 3u-103 |
Ipswich Town vs Liverpool Key Matchups and Game Preview
Liverpool's Underlying Numbers
The early underlying numbers still favor Liverpool, as the Reds are averaging 2.00 goals with 2.17 expected goals per match, compared with Ipswich Town at 2.00 goals and 1.87 xG. Liverpool has also allowed fewer expected goals at 1.86 per match compared with Ipswich's 2.66.
Ipswich Town's Early Results
Ipswich Town has three points from its opening two matches after beating Sunderland 2-1 before suffering a 5-2 defeat at Manchester United. That loss exposed a real vulnerability defensively, one that Liverpool's attacking quality could exploit in similar fashion.
Possession Advantage for Liverpool
Liverpool's 65% average possession rate is another major advantage over Ipswich Town at 39%, suggesting the visitors should control the ball and spend considerably more time attacking throughout this match.
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Liverpool's Attacking Contributors
Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexander Isak and Cody Gakpo have each scored once through two league appearances, while Gakpo and Florian Wirtz have also contributed assists for a Liverpool side still searching for its first league win.
Ipswich Town's Attacking Contributors
Ipswich Town has received goals from Leif Davis, Emersonn and Chuba Akpom, while Julio Enciso already has two assists, showing the home side has attacking pieces of its own to work with.
Liverpool's Defensive Absences
Liverpool's absentee list includes Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike, Joe Gomez, Jayden Danns and Giovanni Leoni, with Federico Chiesa also doubtful because of a back issue. Those absences, particularly in defense, make laying -1.5 at +130 less appealing even with Liverpool favored on the moneyline.
Ipswich Town's Injury Concerns
Ipswich Town is expected to be without Jack Taylor, while Azor Matusiwa remains doubtful heading into this match against a talented Liverpool attack.
Betting Trends: LIV vs ITFC
- Liverpool has opened with consecutive 2-2 draws against Newcastle and Nottingham Forest.
- Ipswich Town has three points from its opening two matches, including a 5-2 loss at Manchester United.
- Public betting has heavily favored Liverpool on the moneyline throughout the market, with support consistently ranging from 87% to 95%.
- The Liverpool moneyline has shortened from -169 to -178 as kickoff approaches.
- The total has held steady in the 3 to 3.5 range across recent line snapshots.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: LIV vs ITFC
- Liverpool's Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike, Joe Gomez, Jayden Danns and Giovanni Leoni are all absent.
- Liverpool's Federico Chiesa is doubtful due to a back issue.
- Ipswich Town's Jack Taylor is expected to miss this match.
- Ipswich Town's Azor Matusiwa remains doubtful.
Ipswich Town vs Liverpool Side and Over/Under Picks
Ipswich Town Moneyline Pick
Liverpool's superior possession, xG and attacking depth should eventually create enough chances to win, but neither side has kept a clean sheet and both have conceded multiple goals already, making a comfortable Liverpool victory far from certain. Liverpool's defensive absences add further reason to lean toward the plus-side option rather than laying a heavier price.
- Pick: Ipswich Town +1.5 (-195)
Total Pick
Both teams have shown they can score and concede in bunches early this season, with Ipswich Town's 5-2 result at Manchester United and Liverpool's back-to-back 2-2 draws both supporting a high-scoring outcome.
- Pick: Over 3.5 (+125)
Final Score Prediction
Liverpool's edge in expected goals and possession should be enough to secure a result at Portman Road, but Ipswich Town's attacking pieces and Liverpool's defensive absences should keep this from being a comfortable margin.
- Projected Final Score: Liverpool 3, Ipswich Town 2
How to Wager On Liverpool vs Ipswich Town
Bettors looking to build out this matchup have several tools available beyond the standard moneyline and total. Our AI picks hub breaks down data-driven angles for games like Liverpool vs Ipswich Town, while the Dimers review and Oddible review offer additional model-based perspectives worth comparing against the line movement covered above before placing a wager on this Premier League matchup.
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