Liverpool vs Fulham Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday September 12 2026
Liverpool and Fulham meet Saturday, September 12 in a Premier League matchup where the Reds are substantial home favorites, and bettors weighing this week's EPL predictions will want to note that the underlying numbers are much closer than the win-loss records suggest. For more angles across the slate, check out our EPL picks before kickoff. Liverpool is listed at -220 on the moneyline, Fulham at +550 and the draw at +390, while the total is set at 3.5 goals.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Liverpool -1.5 (+110)
- Total Pick: Under 3.5 (-145)
- Projected Final Score: Liverpool 3, Fulham 0
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Market | Liverpool | Fulham | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -225 | +560 | +391 |
| Spread | -1.5 (+110) | +1.5 (-150) | - |
| Total | Over 3.5 / Under 3.5 (-145) | - | |
Line Movement - Moneyline
| Date | Fulham | Liverpool | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | +560 | -225 | +391 |
| 09/08 | +551 | -220 | +384 |
| 09/08 | +548 | -219 | +384 |
| 09/08 | +543 | -217 | +382 |
| 09/08 | +544 | -219 | +386 |
| 09/08 | +531 | -214 | +382 |
| 09/08 | +524 | -211 | +379 |
| 09/08 | +543 | -219 | +387 |
| 09/08 | +536 | -216 | +384 |
| 09/08 | +539 | -219 | +389 |
| 09/07 | +539 | -219 | +389 |
| 09/07 | +533 | -228 | +415 |
| 09/06 | +532 | -227 | +413 |
| 09/06 | +533 | -228 | +415 |
| 09/06 | +538 | -231 | +417 |
| 09/06 | +535 | -230 | +416 |
| 09/06 | +533 | -229 | +415 |
| 09/06 | +532 | -228 | +414 |
| 09/06 | +531 | -227 | +414 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | 3 (-146) | 3 (+120) |
| 09/08 | 3 (-145) | 3 (+120) |
| 09/08 | 3 (-145) | 3.25 (-116) |
| 09/08 | 3.25 (-104) | 3.25 (-116) |
| 09/08 | 3.25 (-110) | 3.25 (-110) |
| 09/08 | 3.25 (-109) | 3.25 (-111) |
| 09/08 | 3.25 (-108) | 3.25 (-112) |
| 09/08 | 3.25 (-110) | 3.25 (-110) |
| 09/08 | 3.25 (-109) | 3.25 (-111) |
| 09/08 | 3.25 (-114) | 3.25 (-106) |
| 09/07 | 3.25 (-114) | 3.25 (-106) |
| 09/07 | 3.25 (-116) | 3.25 (-104) |
Liverpool vs Fulham Key Matchups and Game Preview
Liverpool Recent Form
Liverpool enters this matchup at 1-2-0 in league play after earning a 2-0 road win over Ipswich following consecutive 2-2 draws against Nottingham Forest and Newcastle, a stretch that shows the Reds still finding their attacking rhythm.
Fulham Recent Form
Fulham has struggled to find positive results, opening with a 3-2 loss to Chelsea before falling 1-0 at Sunderland and 3-2 to Crystal Palace, leaving the visitors winless at 0-0-3.
Liverpool Statistical Profile
Liverpool has produced the stronger overall profile, averaging 2.00 goals while allowing 1.33 per match, compared with Fulham at 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. That gap in both scoring and defending gives Liverpool a clear statistical edge entering this matchup.
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Fulham Expected Goals Profile
The underlying numbers are closer than the records suggest, however, with Liverpool generating 1.67 expected goals per game while allowing 1.49, compared with Fulham at 1.83 xG and 1.81 xGA, a sign that Fulham has created more than its results indicate.
Liverpool Attacking Contributors
Liverpool's attack has been led by Alexander Isak, who has scored three goals in three appearances, while Cody Gakpo has added a goal and three assists. Dominik Szoboszlai has also scored once, while Florian Wirtz and Ryan Gravenberch have contributed assists.
Fulham Attacking Contributors
Fulham counters with Josh King, who has scored twice, while Gonzalo García and Cesar Palacios have one goal apiece, giving the visitors at least a few individual bright spots amid the winless start.
Betting Trends: LIV vs FUL
Liverpool holds the edge in both scoring and defending, averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 allowed compared with Fulham's 1.33 scored and 2.33 allowed. The expected-goal gap is much narrower, though, with Liverpool at 1.67 xG and 1.49 xGA against Fulham's 1.83 xG and 1.81 xGA. Fulham's defense has been especially shaky, posting no clean sheets and a 53% save percentage through its opening matches.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: LIV vs FUL
Injuries could play an important role, particularly for Liverpool, with Hugo Ekitike dealing with an Achilles issue, Conor Bradley and Vitezslav Jaros carrying knee injuries, Joe Gomez dealing with a muscular problem and Giovanni Leoni sidelined with an ACL injury. Fulham is also missing depth, with Tom Cairney and Jonah Kusi-Asare both dealing with knee problems.
Liverpool vs Fulham Side and Over/Under Picks
- Spread Pick: Liverpool -1.5 (+110)
- Total Pick: Under 3.5 (-145)
Even with Liverpool's injury concerns, the Reds possess significantly more attacking quality and have already shown an ability to create multiple goals consistently. Fulham's defense has been much less reliable, with no clean sheets and a 53% save percentage, making it difficult to trust the visitors over 90 minutes.
Final Score Prediction
- Liverpool: 3
- Fulham: 0
How to Wager On Liverpool vs Fulham
Bettors looking to expand their approach to this Liverpool vs Fulham matchup have a few additional resources worth exploring. Our AI picks break down data-driven angles for the game, while our Dimers review and Oddible review both provide additional model-based perspectives that can be used alongside the Liverpool spread and under 3.5 total outlined above.
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