Tottenham vs Everton Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday September 12 2026
Tottenham Hotspur and Everton meet Saturday, September 12 in a Premier League matchup where the betting market still gives Spurs a slight home-field edge despite a difficult start to the season, and bettors weighing this week's EPL predictions will want to look closely at Tottenham's alarming lack of goals. For more angles across the slate, check out our EPL picks before kickoff. Tottenham is listed at +100 on the moneyline, Everton at +255 and the draw at +260, while the total is set at 2.5 goals.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Everton +0.5 (-135)
- Total Pick: Under 2.5 (-115)
- Projected Final Score: Tottenham 1, Everton 1
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Market | Tottenham | Everton | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +100 | +255 | +260 |
| Spread | -0.5 (-110) | +0.5 (-135) | - |
| Total | Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 (-115) | - | |
Line Movement - Moneyline
| Date | Everton | Tottenham | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | +253 | +105 | +261 |
| 09/07 | +260 | +102 | +263 |
| 09/06 | +261 | +102 | +262 |
| 09/06 | +264 | +101 | +263 |
| 09/06 | +264 | +101 | +262 |
| 09/06 | +264 | +101 | +261 |
| 09/06 | +269 | -101 | +263 |
| 09/06 | +273 | -102 | +265 |
| 09/06 | +276 | -103 | +266 |
| 09/05 | +274 | -102 | +265 |
| 09/05 | +274 | +100 | +255 |
| 09/05 | +274 | -101 | +258 |
| 09/05 | +273 | -103 | +266 |
| 09/03 | +272 | -102 | +266 |
| 09/03 | +272 | +100 | +261 |
| 09/02 | +268 | +100 | +261 |
| 09/01 | +269 | -100 | +262 |
| 09/01 | +265 | +101 | +260 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | 2.5 (-109) | 2.5 (-111) |
| 09/08 | 2.5 (-108) | 2.5 (-112) |
| 09/06 | 2.5 (-109) | 2.5 (-111) |
| 09/06 | 2.5 (-107) | 2.5 (-113) |
| 09/06 | 2.5 (-108) | 2.5 (-112) |
| 09/05 | 2.5 (-107) | 2.5 (-113) |
| 09/05 | 2.5 (-106) | 2.5 (-114) |
| 09/05 | 2.5 (+103) | 2.5 (-124) |
| 09/05 | 2.5 (-101) | 2.5 (-120) |
| 09/03 | 2.5 (-109) | 2.5 (-111) |
| 09/01 | 2.5 (-108) | 2.5 (-112) |
Tottenham vs Everton Key Matchups and Game Preview
Tottenham Attacking Struggles
Tottenham enters this matchup without a league goal through the early sample, averaging 0.00 goals while conceding 1.67 per match, and the underlying numbers have not been much more encouraging. Spurs are generating only 1.03 expected goals per game while allowing 1.78 xG, resulting in a -0.8 expected-goal differential.
Everton Scoring Output
Everton has been more productive, averaging 1.67 goals while conceding just 1.00, although its 1.30 xG and 1.64 xGA suggest the Toffees have also been somewhat fortunate defensively so far this season.
Everton Recent Form
Recent league form favors Everton, which has beaten Crystal Palace 2-0 before earning draws with Bournemouth and Manchester United, results that show real progress under the current setup.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Tottenham Recent Form
Tottenham, meanwhile, followed a 3-0 loss at Brentford with a 2-0 defeat to Newcastle before holding Nottingham Forest to a scoreless draw, a stretch that underlines just how far the attack has fallen off.
Everton Scoring Contributors
Everton's scoring has been spread around, with James Tarkowski, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Thierno Barry each recording a goal, while Harrison Armstrong and Harrison Hackney have contributed assists.
Tottenham Possession Without Production
Tottenham has yet to produce an individual league goal scorer in the listed sample, highlighting its attacking problems. Spurs' possession advantage of 58% to 43% has not translated into meaningful attacking production this season.
Betting Trends: TOT vs EVE
Everton's -0.34 expected-goal differential (1.30 xG for, 1.64 xGA) still comes out ahead of Tottenham's -0.8 mark (1.03 xG for, 1.78 xGA), and the gap in actual results is even starker with Everton averaging 1.67 goals scored to Tottenham's 0.00. Everton has won one and drawn two of its last three league matches, while Tottenham has lost two of its last three and been held scoreless in each of its past two outings.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: TOT vs EVE
Injuries make the home side even more difficult to trust, with James Maddison dealing with a knock, Xavi Simons and Dejan Kulusevski carrying knee injuries and Wilson Odobert sidelined with an ACL issue. Those absences can significantly reduce Tottenham's creativity and ability to break down an organized defense. Everton lists Christian Norgaard and James Garner on its injury report, but no specific injury designation is shown for either, leaving the visitors in comparatively better shape.
Tottenham vs Everton Side and Over/Under Picks
- Spread Pick: Everton +0.5 (-135)
- Total Pick: Under 2.5 (-115)
Tottenham's possession advantage has not translated into meaningful attacking production, and Everton's stronger recent form makes the points appealing at plus money on the spread. With Tottenham unable to find the net through its recent stretch, the under also stands out as the preferred total play.
Final Score Prediction
- Tottenham Hotspur: 1
- Everton: 1
How to Wager On Tottenham vs Everton
Bettors looking to expand their approach to this Tottenham vs Everton matchup have a few additional resources worth exploring. Our AI picks break down data-driven angles for the game, while our Dimers review and Oddible review both provide additional model-based perspectives that can be used alongside the Everton spread and under 2.5 total outlined above.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Get $350 in Bonus Bets when you wager $5 for 7 days
New DraftKings Customer: SPEND $5, GET $200 IN BONUSES
