Jack Jenkins vs Ramon Taveras Picks and Predictions for Saturday September 27 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 09/24/2025, 03:22 PM ET
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Momentum defines the featherweight clash at UFC Fight Night 260 on September 27, 2025, as Jack Jenkins and Ramon Taveras square off in a co-main event at RAC Arena in Perth, Australia. Jenkins, a local favorite looking to rebound from a setback, faces Taveras, a hungry contender aiming to capitalize on his UFC debut’s promise. This battle of resilience versus aggression could shake up the 145-pound division, with both fighters desperate to climb the ranks. For expert analysis and betting angles, dive into our UFC Picks to stay locked in for this fight and the entire card.

Recent Form – Jack Jenkins

  • Last 3 Fights: Jenkins is 1-2 in his last three, with a unanimous decision win over Don Shainis (July 2024), a submission loss to Gabriel Santos (February 2025, UFC 312), and a TKO victory over Herbert Burns (June 2023). His UFC record stands at 3-2.
  • Performance Trends: “Phar” Jack Jenkins blends crisp boxing (4.56 significant strikes per minute, 59.7% accuracy) with solid grappling (1.45 takedowns per 15 minutes, 50% accuracy). His loss to Santos exposed vulnerabilities to submissions (0.8 attempts against per fight), but his striking efficiency remains among the division’s best.
  • Title Contention Stakes: At 31, Jenkins is on the cusp of the top 15. A win over Taveras could set up a ranked opponent, positioning him as a dark horse in a division led by Volkanovski and Topuria.

Recent Form – Ramon Taveras

  • Last 3 Fights: Taveras is 1-2 in his last three, with a first-round knockout of Serhiy Sidey (July 2024), a unanimous decision loss to Davey Grant (December 2024), and a decision win over Cortavious Romious (February 2024). His UFC record is 2-1.
  • Performance Trends: Known as “The Savage,” Taveras brings explosive striking (5.23 significant strikes per minute, 46% accuracy) and decent takedown defense (65%). His knockout power (seven of 10 wins by KO/TKO) is his calling card, but his loss to Grant showed struggles against high-volume strikers.
  • Quality of Opponents: Taveras’ UFC opponents have been unranked, with Grant being his toughest test. His 1-1 record at featherweight (moved up from bantamweight) suggests he’s still adapting to the division’s pace and power.

Momentum & Intangibles

  • Who’s Rising: Jenkins holds slight momentum as the hometown hero, with his win over Shainis showing he can rebound from setbacks. Taveras’ knockout of Sidey was electric, but his loss to Grant halted his hype, making this a prove-it fight for both.
  • Confidence and Mental Edge: Jenkins, fighting in Perth, exudes confidence after his technical striking display against Shainis. He’s vowed to “put on a show” for his home crowd. Taveras, despite his loss, carries a chip on his shoulder, promising to “steal the spotlight” with a finish.
  • Crowd Support: The RAC Arena crowd will be firmly behind Jenkins, an Australian star, giving him a psychological boost. Taveras, unfazed by hostile environments, thrives as an underdog but faces an uphill battle in enemy territory.

Betting Market Snapshot

  • Current Odds (as of September 2025):
    • Jenkins: -300 (75% implied probability)
    • Taveras: +240 (29.4% implied probability)
    • Round Totals: Over 2.5 rounds (+120), Under 2.5 rounds (-150)
  • Line Movement: The line opened at Jenkins -270, Taveras +220, with heavy betting on Jenkins’ home advantage and striking precision widening the gap. Sharps are eyeing Taveras for a knockout upset, given his power and underdog value.

Picks & Fight Prediction For Jenkins vs. Taveras

This featherweight co-main event is a tale of technical precision versus raw power. Jenkins’ 59.7% striking accuracy and 4.56 strikes per minute give him a clear edge in a stand-up battle, especially against Taveras’ 44% striking defense. Taveras’ 5.23 strikes per minute and seven KO/TKO wins make him a constant threat, but his 65% takedown defense could falter against Jenkins’ 1.45 takedowns per fight. Jenkins’ submission loss to Santos is a concern, but Taveras’ minimal grappling (0.3 submission attempts per fight) limits that risk.

The hometown crowd and Jenkins’ superior striking efficiency should carry him through early exchanges, where he’ll use angles to avoid Taveras’ power. Taveras’ aggressive style may find moments, but Jenkins’ 72% takedown defense and counterstriking should neutralize big shots. Expect Jenkins to pile up points, potentially landing a late counter to secure a stoppage as Taveras overextends.

Fight Prediction: Jack Jenkins wins via TKO in Round 3. His technical striking, home crowd energy, and defensive grappling will outpace Taveras, leading to a stoppage in the final round.

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  1. Jenkins Moneyline (-300): His striking precision and home advantage make him a strong favorite.
  2. Under 2.5 Rounds (-150): Taveras’ power and Jenkins’ finishing ability point to a potential early end.
  3. Jenkins by KO/TKO (+250): High-value prop, as Jenkins’ counters could capitalize on Taveras’ aggressive approach.
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