Dallas Renegades vs Birmingham Stallions Picks and Prediction for Saturday May 9 2026
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The Dallas Renegades and Birmingham Stallions will meet on Saturday, May 9, 2026, at Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Alabama. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 PM, and the game will air on ESPN. Dallas enters the matchup as a slight 1.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -125, while Birmingham comes back at +105. The total for the game is set at 45.5 points. Fans looking for additional betting analysis throughout the weekend should also check out free UFL picks for more daily predictions and coverage.
Starting Quarterbacks
Austin Reed enters this matchup leading one of the league’s most productive passing attacks with 1,360 passing yards, 13 touchdown passes, and seven interceptions this season. On the opposite side, Dorian Thompson-Robinson has thrown for 603 passing yards with three touchdown passes and two interceptions. Reed currently ranks among the league leaders in passing production while Thompson-Robinson continues to guide Birmingham’s offense with a more balanced approach.
Dallas Looking to End the Slide
Dallas enters this game with a 3-3 overall record after recently losing three consecutive games. The Renegades recently lost to DC by a 24-6 score and previously recently lost to Louisville 47-25 before another defeat against Columbus by a 28-14 margin. Prior to the losing streak, Dallas recently won over Columbus and St. Louis while scoring 28 and 31 points in those victories.
The Renegades have averaged 23.3 points per game this season while producing 229.8 passing yards and 82.2 rushing yards per contest. Defensively, Dallas has allowed 25.7 points per game while surrendering 179.7 passing yards and 98.7 rushing yards per matchup.
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One of the biggest strengths for Dallas entering this game is the passing offense led by Austin Reed. The Renegades continue to move the football effectively through the air and remain one of the stronger passing teams in the league statistically. However, the recent defensive struggles are difficult to ignore after allowing 47 points to Louisville and 28 points to Columbus during the recent skid.
Birmingham Searching for Momentum at Home
Birmingham enters this matchup with a 2-4 overall record but comes in with some confidence after recently winning over Orlando by a 20-17 score. Before that victory, the Stallions recently lost to DC, Orlando, St. Louis, and Houston during a difficult stretch that included a shutout loss against Orlando.
The Stallions have averaged 18.8 points per game this season while producing 227.0 passing yards and 76.3 rushing yards per contest. Defensively, Birmingham has allowed 24.5 points per game while giving up 235.7 passing yards and 103.0 rushing yards per matchup.
One issue for Birmingham entering this matchup has been offensive consistency. The Stallions have scored 20 points or fewer in four of their last five games and were shut out entirely during the recent loss to Orlando. However, Birmingham did respond well defensively in the latest victory over Orlando by allowing only 17 points and could benefit from returning home for this matchup.
Dallas Renegades vs Birmingham Stallions Picks and Prediction
Dallas Renegades vs Birmingham Stallions Pick
- Pick: Dallas Renegades -1.5
Dallas enters this matchup with the stronger passing offense and the more productive quarterback statistically. Austin Reed continues to lead one of the league’s top passing attacks, and the Renegades average more points per game than Birmingham entering this matchup. While Dallas has struggled recently, Birmingham has also battled offensive inconsistency throughout the season. I believe Dallas’ ability to create offense through the air gives the Renegades the edge in a close matchup.
Dallas Renegades vs Birmingham Stallions Total Pick
- Pick: Under 45.5
I like the under in this matchup because Birmingham games have consistently trended lower scoring recently. The Stallions have scored 20 points or fewer in four of their last five games, including a shutout loss to Orlando during that stretch. Dallas also scored only six points in its latest loss to DC. While both teams can move the football through the air, recent offensive inconsistency on both sides makes the under the stronger option here.
Final Score Prediction: Dallas Renegades 24 – Birmingham Stallions 20
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