Dallas Renegades vs Louisville Kings Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 24 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/24/2026, 12:15 AM ET
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The Dallas Renegades travel to Lynn Family Stadium in Louisville to face the Louisville Kings on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 PM ET as Louisville looks to continue its recent momentum while Dallas attempts to end a difficult losing streak. The Kings enter the matchup as 1.5-point favorites with a moneyline of -134, while the Renegades are listed at +113. The total for the game is set at 46.5 points. Be sure to check out our free UFL picks

Starting Quarterbacks Set to Lead Important Matchup

Austin Reed enters this matchup after throwing for 1,660 passing yards with 16 touchdown passes and eight interceptions for Dallas this season. On the opposite sideline, Chandler Rogers has produced 853 passing yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions for Louisville. Both quarterbacks will be central figures Sunday as the two teams meet again after Louisville earned a convincing victory in the previous matchup earlier this season.

Renegades Searching for Answers During Difficult Stretch

Dallas enters this matchup with a 3-5 overall record and has struggled recently after dropping five consecutive games. The Renegades recently lost to Orlando, Birmingham, DC, Louisville, and Columbus during that stretch. One of the more difficult losses came against Louisville in a 47-25 defeat on April 26. Dallas has continued to battle offensively in several games but has struggled to consistently slow opposing teams defensively.

The Renegades average 22.6 points per game while generating 206.8 passing yards and 95.5 rushing yards offensively. Defensively, Dallas allows 25.8 points per contest while giving up 184.4 passing yards and 99.0 rushing yards per game. The passing attack has remained productive throughout the season and continues to be one of the stronger offensive areas for Dallas.

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A major concern for Dallas entering this matchup is the recent defensive performance. The Renegades have allowed at least 24 points in four of their last five games, including 47 points in the earlier meeting against Louisville. While the offense has shown the ability to move the football, the team will need more defensive consistency to reverse the recent slide.

Louisville Looking to Stay Hot at Home

Louisville enters this matchup with a balanced 4-4 record and has won four of its last five games overall. The Kings recently won over DC twice, Dallas, and Houston during this strong stretch before recently lost to St. Louis in a low-scoring contest. Louisville has shown the ability to produce offensively while also finding ways to win tighter defensive games.

The Kings average 23.3 points per game while producing 190.9 passing yards and 77.3 rushing yards offensively. Defensively, Louisville allows 21.1 points per game while surrendering 204.8 passing yards and 118.9 rushing yards to opponents. Louisvilleโ€™s offense has consistently created scoring opportunities during the recent winning stretch.

One of the key strengths for Louisville has been its ability to capitalize offensively in important moments. The Kings scored 47 points in the previous meeting against Dallas and followed that with strong offensive performances against DC. Louisville has also shown resilience recently with consecutive victories entering this matchup.

Dallas Renegades vs. Louisville Kings Picks and Prediction

Dallas Renegades vs. Louisville Kings Pick

  • Pick: Louisville Kings -1.5

Louisville enters this matchup playing the better football over the last several weeks with four wins in its last five games. The Kings already recently won over Dallas 47-25 earlier this season and continue to hold the stronger defensive numbers entering this matchup. Dallas has now lost five straight games and has struggled defensively during much of that stretch. I believe Louisvilleโ€™s recent momentum and offensive confidence give the Kings the edge once again at home.

Dallas Renegades vs. Louisville Kings Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 46.5

I am leaning toward the over in this matchup because both teams have shown the ability to score points recently. Dallas averages 22.6 points per game while Louisville averages 23.3 points per contest. The previous meeting between these teams produced 72 total points in Louisvilleโ€™s 47-25 victory, and both teams have recently been involved in several games that moved past this total comfortably. With both offenses capable of creating explosive plays, this matchup sets up well for another higher-scoring game.

Final Score Prediction: Louisville Kings 28 โ€“ Dallas Renegades 24

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