2026 WNBA Team Betting Trends: Best Spread, Moneyline, and Totals Picks
2026 WNBA Betting Trends: Best Spread, Moneyline, and Totals Picks by Team
Golden State remains the WNBA's strongest against-the-spread team in the current workbook at 25-17 and +13.6%, with Washington second and Portland up to third. Minnesota still owns the best straight-up record, while Indiana remains the top Over team. Dallas and Golden State continue to lead the Under side.
Records reflect the supplied 2026 WNBA regular-season workbook received September 27, 2026. Spread and total ROI are the workbook's reported flat-stake returns. Moneyline ROI is not shown because the workbook does not include the per-game prices required to calculate it accurately. Historical trend performance is descriptive and does not guarantee future results.
Best Season-Long Trends at a Glance
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries 25-17, +5.73u, +13.6%.
- Moneyline: Minnesota Lynx 32-11, 0.744 win percentage.
- Over: Indiana Fever 26-17, +15.4%.
- Under: Dallas Wings 17-25, +13.6%.
Against the Spread Picks
Golden State has strengthened its lead from the previous update, moving to 25-17 and +13.6%. Washington remains second, while Portland has climbed into third. New York is still the weakest ATS team in the current workbook.
| Rank | Team | ATS Record | Units | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Golden State Valkyries | 25-17 | +5.73u | +13.6% |
| 2 | Washington Mystics | 24-18 | +3.82u | +9.1% |
| 3 | Portland Fire | 24-20 | +1.82u | +4.1% |
| 4 | Chicago Sky | 22-19 | +1.00u | +2.4% |
| 5 | Los Angeles Sparks | 22-19 | +1.00u | +2.4% |
| 6 | Indiana Fever | 22-20 | +0.00u | +0.0% |
| 7 | Las Vegas Aces | 21-20 | -0.91u | -2.2% |
| 8 | Seattle Storm | 21-20 | -0.91u | -2.2% |
| 9 | Dallas Wings | 20-21 | -2.82u | -6.9% |
| 10 | Minnesota Lynx | 20-21 | -2.82u | -6.9% |
| 11 | Connecticut Sun | 20-23 | -4.82u | -11.2% |
| 12 | Atlanta Dream | 20-24 | -5.82u | -13.2% |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo | 17-21 | -5.55u | -14.6% |
| 14 | Phoenix Mercury | 18-24 | -7.64u | -18.2% |
| 15 | New York Liberty | 16-25 | -10.45u | -25.5% |
Moneyline Picks (Straight Up)
Minnesota remains first straight up at 32-11, followed by Golden State and Las Vegas. Because the current workbook's HOME and AWAY moneyline splits do not reconcile consistently to the overall record, this update uses the workbook's BOTH record only rather than publishing contradictory split columns.
| Rank | Team | Record | Win Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx | 32-11 | 0.744 |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries | 31-12 | 0.721 |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces | 30-13 | 0.698 |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream | 30-14 | 0.682 |
| 5 | Indiana Fever | 28-15 | 0.651 |
| 6 | Washington Mystics | 27-16 | 0.628 |
| 7 | Dallas Wings | 26-17 | 0.605 |
| 8 | New York Liberty | 26-18 | 0.591 |
| 9 | Portland Fire | 17-27 | 0.386 |
| 10 | Chicago Sky | 16-27 | 0.372 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Sparks | 16-27 | 0.372 |
| 12 | Phoenix Mercury | 16-27 | 0.372 |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo | 11-32 | 0.256 |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun | 10-33 | 0.233 |
| 15 | Seattle Storm | 8-35 | 0.186 |
Totals Picks (Over / Under)
Indiana remains the strongest Over profile, but Toronto has moved into second and Chicago into third. Dallas remains the strongest Under team, with Golden State and Seattle next.
Best Over Plays
| Rank | Team | Over Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana Fever | 26-17 | +15.4% |
| 2 | Toronto Tempo | 24-17 | +11.8% |
| 3 | Chicago Sky | 24-18 | +9.1% |
| 4 | Portland Fire | 25-19 | +8.5% |
| 5 | New York Liberty | 24-19 | +6.6% |
| 6 | Minnesota Lynx | 23-19 | +4.5% |
| 7 | Los Angeles Sparks | 22-20 | +0.0% |
| 8 | Atlanta Dream | 23-21 | -0.2% |
| 9 | Connecticut Sun | 22-21 | -2.3% |
| 10 | Washington Mystics | 22-21 | -2.3% |
| 11 | Phoenix Mercury | 21-21 | -4.5% |
| 12 | Las Vegas Aces | 20-22 | -9.1% |
| 13 | Seattle Storm | 19-24 | -15.7% |
| 14 | Golden State Valkyries | 18-24 | -18.2% |
| 15 | Dallas Wings | 17-25 | -22.7% |
Best Under Plays
| Rank | Team | Under Record (O-U) | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Wings | 17-25 | +13.6% |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries | 18-24 | +9.1% |
| 3 | Seattle Storm | 19-24 | +6.6% |
| 4 | Las Vegas Aces | 20-22 | +0.0% |
| 5 | Phoenix Mercury | 21-21 | -4.5% |
| 6 | Connecticut Sun | 22-21 | -6.8% |
| 7 | Washington Mystics | 22-21 | -6.8% |
| 8 | Atlanta Dream | 23-21 | -8.9% |
| 9 | Los Angeles Sparks | 22-20 | -9.1% |
| 10 | Minnesota Lynx | 23-19 | -13.6% |
| 11 | New York Liberty | 24-19 | -15.7% |
| 12 | Portland Fire | 25-19 | -17.6% |
| 13 | Chicago Sky | 24-18 | -18.2% |
| 14 | Toronto Tempo | 24-17 | -20.9% |
| 15 | Indiana Fever | 26-17 | -24.5% |
Trends to Fade
- New York Liberty ATS: 16-25, -25.5%.
- Phoenix Mercury ATS: 18-24, -18.2%.
- Dallas Wings Over: 17-25, -22.7%.
- Indiana Fever Under: 26-17, -24.5%.
How We Use These Trends
Season-long market records are one input into our picks, parlays and best bets. For current matchup analysis, see our WNBA Picks.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which WNBA team has the best against-the-spread trend in 2026?
Golden State ranks first in the current workbook at 25-17, +5.73u and +13.6%.
Which WNBA teams should bettors fade?
New York remains the weakest ATS return at -25.5%. Phoenix and Toronto are also materially negative against the spread in the current workbook.
Which teams are winning most often outright?
Minnesota owns the best overall moneyline record at 32-11, followed by Golden State at 31-12 and Las Vegas at 30-13.
Why is there no ROI on the moneyline table?
Accurate moneyline ROI requires the actual price of each wager. The workbook provides straight-up wins and losses but not the per-game prices needed to compute a valid season-long moneyline return.
Which teams hit the Over most often?
Indiana leads the Over ROI table at 26-17 and +15.4%, followed by Toronto and Chicago.
Are there any reliable Under plays right now?
Dallas leads the Under table at +13.6%, with Golden State second and Seattle third. These are historical season records, not guarantees about the next game.
How often are these trends updated?
This page is refreshed when a new current WNBA betting-stat workbook is supplied and validated.
How is ROI calculated?
Spread and total ROI are taken directly from the supplied workbook. This page does not redesign the upstream calculation method.
Methodology
Spread rankings use the workbook's BOTH ATS record, Units and ROI. Moneyline teams are ranked by straight-up win percentage using the workbook's BOTH record; HOME and AWAY splits are withheld in this update because those split totals do not reconcile consistently with the overall record. Over and Under tables are ranked separately by their reported ROI. The workbook also contains period-level markets, but this update preserves the established full-game WNBA page architecture rather than introducing a new layout without a separate redesign decision.
21+. Please play responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Records reflect the supplied 2026 WNBA regular-season workbook received September 27, 2026 and are subject to change.
