Chicago Sky vs Connecticut Sun Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday August 25 2026
My Sky vs Sun picks for Tuesday night favor Chicago, a team that leads this season series 2-1 and gets a major boost with Connecticut missing several key contributors. For more plays across the league tonight, check out my WNBA picks.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Side Pick: Chicago Sky -5.5
- Total Pick: Under 169.5
- Projected Final Score: Sky 87, Sun 77
Odds and Line Movement
Chicago's spread has bounced between -5.5 and -6.5 throughout the day, with the price on the favorite moving as low as -102 and as high as -115 depending on the number, and the line has settled at -5.5 (-112) as of Tuesday morning. Public money has been heavily on the Sky throughout, reaching as high as 95% of dollars wagered at points on Monday. The total opened at 169.5 on Wednesday, dipped to 168.5 on Monday, and has moved back up to 169.5 by Tuesday morning, with the public leaning Under as high as 90% in Monday's reading before settling closer to an even split most recently.
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | -5.5 (-112) | Over 169.5 (-108) |
| Connecticut Sun | +5.5 (-108) | Under 169.25 (-112) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Chicago | Connecticut | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25 | -5.5 (-112) | +5.5 (-108) | CHI 92%, 86% |
| 08/25 | -6.5 (-102) | +6.5 (-118) | CHI 90%, 86% |
| 08/25 | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-110) | CHI 92%, 86% |
| 08/25 | -6.5 (-102) | +6.5 (-118) | CHI 94%, 83% |
| 08/25 | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-110) | CHI 89%, 83% |
| 08/25 | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-110) | CHI 92%, 83% |
| 08/25 | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-110) | CHI 91%, 83% |
| 08/25 | -6.5 (-102) | +6.5 (-118) | CHI 89%, 83% |
| 08/25 | -5.5 (-115) | +5.5 (-105) | CHI 87%, 83% |
| 08/25 | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-110) | CHI 87%, 83% |
| 08/25 | -5.5 (-112) | +5.5 (-108) | CHI 93%, 80% |
| 08/25 | -5.5 (-112) | +5.5 (-108) | CHI 88%, 80% |
| 08/25 | -5.5 (-115) | +5.5 (-105) | CHI 91%, 80% |
| 08/24 | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-110) | CHI 89%, 75% |
| 08/24 | -5.5 (-105) | +5.5 (-115) | CHI 92%, 75% |
| 08/24 | -5.5 (-112) | +5.5 (-108) | CHI 92%, 75% |
| 08/24 | -5.5 (-112) | +5.5 (-108) | CHI 95%, 67% |
| 08/24 | -5.5 (-105) | +5.5 (-115) | CHI 95%, 67% |
| 08/24 | -5.5 (-105) | +5.5 (-115) | CHI 95%, 67% |
| 08/24 | -5.5 (-108) | +5.5 (-112) | -- |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25 | 169.5 (-108) | 169.25 (-112) | U51%, O60% |
| 08/25 | 169.5 (-110) | 169.5 (-110) | U51%, O60% |
| 08/24 | 168.5 (-110) | 168.5 (-110) | U90%, U67% |
| 08/23 | 169.5 (-110) | 169.5 (-110) | -- |
Sky vs Sun Key Matchups and Game Preview
Chicago
The Sky enter at 15-23 after having a three-game winning streak snapped by Indiana in a 113-90 loss, but they still lead this season series against Connecticut 2-1. Chicago has held the offensive advantage all season, averaging 87.4 points per game while shooting 44% from the field and averaging 21.5 assists. Kamilla Cardoso is central to Chicago's matchup advantage, leading the team with 14.7 points and 8.8 rebounds per game while shooting an excellent 54.7% from the floor. Natasha Cloud adds 5.0 assists per game and gives the Sky an experienced distributor. Chicago will again be without Skylar Diggins because of a knee injury, while Rickea Jackson remains out for the season with a knee injury.
Sun
Connecticut sits at 9-27 and has dropped four of its last five games. The Sun are allowing 87.0 points per contest, and that defensive number could create opportunities for a Chicago offense that scored at least 82 points in three consecutive wins before the loss to Indiana. Connecticut's injury situation is potentially damaging heading into this matchup. Leila Lacan, who leads the Sun's listed season leaders with 11.6 points and 4.6 assists per game, is out, while Brittney Griner will also miss the contest with a knee injury. Olivia Nelson-Ododa, Connecticut's leading rebounder at 5.9 per game, is listed as a game-time decision because of a knee issue, which could leave the Sun particularly vulnerable inside against Cardoso.
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Betting Trends: CHI and CONN
- Chicago leads the season series against Connecticut 2-1, including wins of 85-80 and 94-88.
- Connecticut's lone win in the series was a 92-63 blowout.
- Public money has been heavily on the Sky spread throughout the week, reaching as high as 95% of dollars wagered.
- Chicago is averaging 87.4 points per game compared to Connecticut's 79.0.
- Connecticut is allowing 87.0 points per game, a number that favors Chicago's offense.
Key Injuries and Things To Know: CHI and CONN
- Chicago's Skylar Diggins is out with a knee injury.
- Chicago's Rickea Jackson is out for the season with a knee injury.
- Connecticut's Leila Lacan is out.
- Connecticut's Brittney Griner is out with a knee injury.
- Connecticut's Olivia Nelson-Ododa is a game-time decision because of a knee issue.
Sky vs Sun Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: Chicago Sky -5.5
- Total Pick: Under 169.5
Final Score Prediction
Given Connecticut's depleted rotation and Chicago's substantial scoring advantage, laying the points with the visitors is the stronger side tonight. The total is more difficult because Chicago plays at a relatively high-scoring level, but Connecticut's missing offensive pieces should make reaching its normal production difficult enough to keep the combined score below this elevated number.
- Projected Final Score: Sky 87, Sun 77
How to Wager on Sky vs Sun
Bettors looking to back Chicago on the spread or ride the Under 169.5 tonight have several ways to shop for the best number before tip-off. For a broader look at data-driven picks across the slate, check out my AI picks hub. If you want a deeper dive into specific model-based tools, my Dimers review and Oddible review break down how each platform grades this type of matchup and where they see the most value on Chicago versus Connecticut.
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