Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday July 22 2026
The Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty matchup Wednesday marks the second meeting of a four-game season series, with New York looking to build on a narrow win in the opener. Bettors searching for more WNBA picks will want to track how the spread and total have moved leading into tip-off, since both markets have shifted considerably over the past two days.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: New York -6.5 (-105)
- Total Pick: Under 178.5 (-105)
- Final Score Prediction: Liberty 92, Sky 83
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky | +228 | +6.5 (-102) | Over 178.5 (-116) |
| New York Liberty | -287 | -6.5 (-118) | Under 178.5 (-105) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Chicago | New York | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/22 | 09:28:51AM | 6.5 -118 | -6.5 -102 | NY 56%, 36% |
| 07/22 | 09:10:21AM | 6.5 -110 | -6.5 -110 | NY 56%, 36% |
| 07/22 | 09:08:01AM | 6.5 -105 | -6.5 -115 | NY 56%, 36% |
| 07/22 | 08:30:41AM | 7.5 -115 | -7.5 -105 | NY 67%, 40% |
| 07/22 | 08:27:31AM | 7.5 -108 | -7.5 -112 | NY 67%, 40% |
| 07/22 | 08:25:51AM | 7.5 -101 | -7.5 -119 | NY 67%, 40% |
| 07/22 | 04:01:51AM | 8.5 -115 | -8.5 -105 | NY 68%, 41% |
| 07/22 | 04:01:51AM | 8.5 -115 | -8.5 -105 | CHI 52%, 64% |
| 07/21 | 08:26:20PM | 8.5 -105 | -8.5 -115 | NY 65%, 33% |
| 07/21 | 08:26:20PM | 8.5 -105 | -8.5 -115 | NY 65%, 33% |
| 07/21 | 04:12:33PM | 8.5 -105 | -8.5 -115 | NY 63%, 40% |
| 07/21 | 04:12:33PM | 8.5 -105 | -8.5 -115 | NY 62%, 25% |
| 07/21 | 04:11:23PM | 8.5 -101 | -8.5 -120 | NY 62%, 25% |
| 07/21 | 02:03:34PM | 9.5 -112 | -9.5 -108 | NY 64%, 50% |
| 07/21 | 12:43:33PM | 9.5 -112 | -9.5 -108 | NY 64%, 50% |
| 07/21 | 12:30:23PM | 9.5 -108 | -9.5 -112 | NY 64%, 50% |
| 07/21 | 08:50:24AM | 9.5 -102 | -9.5 -118 | NY 64%, 50% |
| 07/21 | 08:50:24AM | 9.5 -102 | -9.5 -118 | CHI 92%, 88% |
| 07/21 | 03:53:14AM | 10.5 -115 | -10.5 -105 | CHI 88%, 90% |
| 07/20 | 10:49:33PM | 10.5 -115 | -10.5 -105 | CHI 94%, 90% |
| 07/20 | 06:19:25PM | 10.5 -115 | -10.5 -105 | CHI 89%, 94% |
| 07/20 | 06:19:25PM | 10.5 -115 | -10.5 -105 | CHI 89%, 93% |
| 07/20 | 05:15:54PM | 11.5 -105 | -11.5 -115 | CHI 88%, 87% |
| 07/20 | 04:22:07PM | 10.5 -108 | -10.5 -105 | CHI 87%, 90% |
| 07/20 | 10:33:33AM | 10.5 -108 | -10.5 -112 | CHI 92%, 94% |
| 07/20 | 10:33:33AM | 10.5 -108 | -10.5 -112 | CHI 88%, 92% |
| 07/20 | 10:33:33AM | 10.5 -108 | -10.5 -112 | CHI 87%, 89% |
| 07/20 | 09:51:02AM | 10.5 -102 | -10.5 -118 | CHI 88%, 91% |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/22 | 09:23:11AM | 178.5o -116 | 178.5u -105 | O92%, O53% |
| 07/22 | 09:10:21AM | 179.5o -108 | 179.5u -112 | O93%, O60% |
| 07/22 | 08:51:01AM | 178.5o -114 | 178.5u -106 | O92%, O57% |
| 07/21 | 08:26:20PM | 178.5o -108 | 178.5u -112 | O94%, O67% |
| 07/21 | 04:11:23PM | 179.5o -112 | 179.5u -108 | O84%, O60% |
| 07/21 | 02:03:34PM | 179.5o -107 | 179.5u -113 | O88%, O67% |
| 07/21 | 01:58:34PM | 179.5o -107 | 179.5u -114 | O88%, O67% |
| 07/21 | 03:53:14AM | 179.5o -108 | 179.5u -112 | O91%, O92% |
Sky vs Liberty: Key Matchups and Game Preview
Wednesday's matchup marks the second meeting of a four-game season series, with New York looking to build on a narrow 96-95 victory in Chicago on June 17. New York is 14-12 overall and 7-5 at home, while Chicago is 9-17 with a 4-10 road record.
New York's Balanced Statistical Edge
The Liberty hold modest statistical advantages on both ends, averaging 88.3 points while allowing 85.9 per game compared with Chicago's 87.3 points scored and 89.5 allowed. New York also shoots 46% from the field and averages 34.7 rebounds, while the Sky shoot 44% and collect 33.2 boards.
Stewart and Jones Lead the Liberty
Breanna Stewart leads the Liberty with 21.1 points per game on 47.7% shooting and remains the matchup's most dependable scorer. Jonquel Jones adds a team-high 9.2 rebounds, giving New York a strong interior presence against Chicago's Kamilla Cardoso, who averages 14.2 points and 8.5 rebounds while shooting an excellent 59.2% from the field.
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Chicago's Backcourt Absences
Chicago's offensive outlook is weakened considerably by the absences of Skylar Diggins and DiJonai Carrington. Diggins leads the team with 4.9 assists per game, and losing her removes the Sky's primary organizer and a key late-clock creator. Carrington's foot injury further reduces Chicago's perimeter scoring, defensive pressure and transition threat, while Rickea Jackson is also unavailable.
Recent Form for Both Clubs
Chicago has split its last four games but enters off a 93-91 loss at Atlanta, while New York snapped a four-game losing streak with a 99-98 overtime win at Dallas heading into this rematch.
CHI vs NY Betting Trends
Line movement shows the spread narrowing significantly from New York -10.5 down to the current -6.5, with public money swinging heavily toward Chicago at points earlier this week (as high as 94%) before settling closer to an even split at 56% New York in the most recent update. The total has dropped from 180.5 to 178.5, with the over drawing between 84% and 94% of public backing across nearly every sampled timestamp.
CHI vs NY Key Injuries and Things To Know
New York has important injuries of its own, with Satou Sabally and Leonie Fiebich ruled out and Marine Johannes listed as a game-time decision because of an ankle issue. Those absences reduce the Liberty's wing depth, but New York still has the stronger collection of top-end talent.
Sky vs Liberty Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: New York -6.5 (-105)
- Total Pick: Under 178.5 (-105)
The Sky's backcourt shortages make it difficult to trust them to generate efficient offense for four quarters, and New York's advantages in shooting, rebounding and star power should become more pronounced at home.
Final Score Prediction
Final score prediction for this matchup:
- New York Liberty: 92
- Chicago Sky: 83
How to Wager On Sky vs Liberty
Bettors looking to build out this Sky vs Liberty card have several tools available beyond the standard side, total and moneyline markets. Comparing New York's rebounding and shooting edges against Chicago's depleted backcourt is a strong angle for player-prop and quarter-based markets, while the total's drop from 180.5 to 178.5 suggests shopping multiple books before locking in a number. For those wanting an extra layer of analysis, the AI picks tool can help cross-reference projections, and reviews like the Dimers review and the Oddible review break down how each platform grades matchups like Liberty vs Sky before tip-off.
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