Connecticut Sun vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction for Monday May 25 2026
Use Code PPWC
The Connecticut Sun visit the Golden State Valkyries on Monday, May 25, 2026, at Chase Center in San Francisco, California. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET with coverage available on WNBA League Pass and KPIX+. Golden State enters the matchup as a heavy favorite with the spread listed at -11.5 while Connecticut sits at +11.5. The moneyline lists the Sun at +500 and the Valkyries at -700, while the total is set at 161.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks
Connecticut Attempting to Reverse Recent Struggles
Connecticut enters this matchup with a 1-6 overall record and a 1-3 road mark this season. The Sun recently lost to Seattle 77-59 after recently winning over Seattle 80-78 in the previous meeting. Before that, Connecticut recently lost to Portland 83-82 and also recently lost to Las Vegas in consecutive games. The Sun have struggled to maintain consistency throughout the opening stretch of the season, particularly on the defensive end during losses.
The Sun are averaging 77.3 points per game while allowing 90.3 points against per contest. Connecticut is shooting 41 percent from the field while averaging 33.9 rebounds and 18.7 assists per game. Defensively, the team is contributing 8.1 steals and 3.1 blocks per contest. While the steals numbers have been solid, Connecticut has had difficulty slowing down opposing offenses overall.
One challenge for Connecticut has been scoring consistency. The Sun are averaging only 77.3 points per game while shooting 41 percent from the field, and they were held to just 59 points in the recent loss to Seattle. The defensive numbers have also been difficult, with opponents averaging more than 90 points per game against them this season.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Golden State Carrying Confidence Back Home
Golden State comes into this contest with a 3-2 overall record and a 1-1 home record this season. The Valkyries recently lost to Indiana 90-82 after recently winning over New York by an 87-70 score. Before that, Golden State recently lost to Chicago 69-63 but also posted victories over Phoenix and Seattle. The Valkyries have already shown the ability to respond positively following defeats during the early part of the season.
Golden State is averaging 83.6 points per game while allowing only 77.6 points against. The Valkyries are shooting 39 percent from the field while averaging 34.2 rebounds and 17.2 assists per game. Defensively, the team has produced 6.4 steals and 4.8 blocks per contest. The defensive numbers stand out the most entering this matchup, especially compared to Connecticut’s offensive production.
A major strength for Golden State has been team defense. The Valkyries are allowing only 77.6 points per game, which compares favorably against a Connecticut offense averaging 77.3 points per contest. Golden State also already showed defensive potential in the recent 87-70 victory over New York, one of the stronger offensive teams listed in the provided data.
Connecticut Sun vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction
Connecticut Sun vs Golden State Valkyries Pick
- Pick: Golden State Valkyries -11.5
Golden State appears to hold a clear edge entering this matchup based on the provided numbers. The Valkyries are allowing only 77.6 points per game while Connecticut is averaging 77.3 points offensively, and the Sun have struggled throughout the season with a 1-6 overall record. Golden State has also shown it can bounce back after losses, and returning home after the defeat against Indiana should help. With Connecticut allowing 90.3 points per game this season, the Valkyries look capable of covering the spread.
Connecticut Sun vs Golden State Valkyries Total Pick
- Pick: Under 161.5
I would lean toward the under in this matchup because Connecticut has struggled offensively throughout most of the season. The Sun are averaging only 77.3 points per game and were limited to 59 points in their most recent contest. Golden State also plays strong defense, allowing just 77.6 points per game overall. With both teams combining for lower-scoring recent performances and the Valkyries relying heavily on defense, the under feels like the better option here.
Final Score Prediction: Golden State Valkyries 84 – Connecticut Sun 72
Betting on the WNBA?
- Find our list of our favorite WNBA sportsbooks
- Claim your promos with the best WNBA sportsbook bonuses
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $200 in Bonuses Instantly!
