Connecticut Sun vs Portland Fire Picks and Prediction for Monday May 18 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/18/2026, 12:15 AM ET
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The Connecticut Sun visit the Portland Fire on Monday, May 18, 2026, at Moda Center in Portland, Oregon. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET with coverage available on WNBA League Pass and Fox 12 Plus. Portland enters the matchup as a 3.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -155, while Connecticut is listed at +130. The total for the game is set at 174.5 points. Both teams enter this matchup looking to improve after difficult starts to the season, with Connecticut attempting to end a four-game losing streak while Portland searches for consistency at home. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Connecticut Trying to Snap Early Losing Streak

The Sun enter this game with an 0-4 record and an 0-1 mark on the road. Connecticut recently lost to Las Vegas 101-94 after also recently lost to Las Vegas 98-69 and Seattle 89-82. Earlier in the season, the Sun recently lost to New York by scores of 106-75 and 79-67. Connecticut has now dropped four straight games entering this road matchup against Portland.

Connecticut is averaging 80.0 points per game while allowing 98.5 points against per contest. The Sun are shooting 39 percent from the field and averaging 33.5 rebounds along with 19.8 assists per game. Defensively, Connecticut has averaged 2.5 blocks and 7.3 steals per contest during the early portion of the season.

One major weakness for Connecticut has been defense. The Sun are allowing 98.5 points per game and have surrendered at least 89 points in four straight contests. The field goal percentage also stands out as a concern, with Connecticut shooting just 39 percent overall entering this matchup.

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Portland Hoping to Build Momentum at Home

Portland enters Monday night with a 1-2 record and a 1-2 mark at home. The Fire recently lost to New York 100-82 after recently won over New York 98-96 earlier in the week. Before those games, Portland recently lost to Chicago 98-83, Los Angeles 85-75, and Seattle 91-81.

The Fire are averaging 87.7 points per game while allowing 98.0 points against per contest. Portland has shot 45 percent from the field while averaging 26.7 rebounds and 19.0 assists per game. Defensively, the Fire are averaging 4.3 blocks and 7.0 steals per contest.

A key strength for Portland entering this game is offensive production. The Fire have scored at least 82 points in all three games this season and nearly reached the century mark twice against New York. Portland’s shooting percentage also gives the team an advantage offensively compared to Connecticut entering this matchup.

Connecticut Sun vs Portland Fire Picks and Prediction

Connecticut Sun vs Portland Fire Pick

  • Pick: Portland Fire -3.5

Portland enters this matchup with the stronger offensive numbers and a clear edge in shooting percentage. The Fire are averaging 87.7 points per game while Connecticut has struggled defensively by allowing nearly 99 points per contest. Portland has also already shown the ability to compete offensively against strong opponents, including a 98-point performance in a win over New York. Connecticut continues searching for its first victory and has now lost four straight games entering this road matchup. I think Portland’s offense helps create enough separation to cover the spread at home.

Connecticut Sun vs Portland Fire Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 174.5

I like the over in this game because both teams have consistently been involved in high-scoring contests to begin the season. Connecticut games have reached at least 171 points in all four outings, while Portland has allowed 98 or more points in three of five games. The Fire are averaging 87.7 points offensively, and the Sun are allowing 98.5 points per game defensively. Neither team has shown the ability to consistently slow opponents down, which should create another matchup with strong scoring opportunities throughout the night.

Final Score Prediction: Portland Fire 92 – Connecticut Sun 84

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