Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction for Friday May 22 2026
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The Connecticut Sun travel to Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, for a Friday night matchup against the Seattle Storm on May 22, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET with coverage available on ION and WNBA League Pass. Seattle enters the game as a 1.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -130, while Connecticut is listed at +110. The total for the matchup is set at 165.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Sun Trying to Build on Recent Victory
Connecticut enters this matchup with a 1-5 overall record and a 1-2 road record this season. The Sun recently won over Seattle 80-78 after previously recently lost to Portland 83-82 and Las Vegas twice by scores of 101-94 and 98-69. Earlier in the month, Connecticut also recently lost to Seattle 89-82 before finally earning its first victory of the season in the rematch on May 20. The Sun have struggled overall this season but now enter Friday with momentum following the close road win.
Connecticut is averaging 80.3 points per game while allowing 92.5 points per contest. The Sun are shooting 42 percent from the field while averaging 34.0 rebounds and 19.3 assists per game. Defensively, Connecticut has recorded 7.4 steals and 3.2 blocks per contest, though the team has consistently struggled to limit scoring opportunities for opponents throughout the season.
One issue that continues to stand out for Connecticut is defense. The Sun are allowing 92.5 points per game, which is one of the higher marks entering this matchup. Connecticut has also allowed at least 83 points in four of its last five games despite showing some offensive improvement during recent contests.
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Seattle Looking to Respond at Home
Seattle enters Friday night with a 1-4 overall record and an 0-2 home record this season. The Storm recently lost to Connecticut 80-78 after previously recently lost to Indiana 89-78 and Toronto 86-73. Earlier in the season, Seattle recently won over Connecticut 89-82 before recently lost to Golden State 91-80. The Storm have dropped four of their last five games entering this matchup and are still searching for consistency offensively.
Seattle is averaging 79.6 points per game while allowing 85.6 points per contest. The Storm are shooting 41 percent from the field while averaging 30.2 rebounds and 16.0 assists per game. Defensively, Seattle has produced 6.4 blocks and 8.0 steals per game, helping keep several recent games competitive despite the offensive inconsistency.
One area where Seattle still holds an advantage is defense. The Storm are allowing fewer points per game than Connecticut while also generating more steals and blocks. Seattle has also kept several recent losses relatively close, including the two-point defeat against Connecticut in the most recent meeting.
Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction
Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm Pick
- Pick: Seattle Storm -1.5
Seattle enters this matchup in a favorable bounce-back spot after narrowly losing to Connecticut earlier in the week. The Storm have played several close games recently and continue to hold the stronger defensive numbers between the two teams. Connecticut has struggled defensively throughout the season while allowing more than 92 points per game, and Seattle already defeated the Sun once earlier this month. With the Storm returning home looking to split the short series, Seattle appears to have the edge Friday night.
Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm Total Pick
- Pick: Over 165.5
I believe this game has a good chance to finish above the total because both teams have recently been involved in competitive games with consistent scoring. Connecticut has allowed at least 83 points in four of its last five games, while Seattle has scored 78 or more points in three of its last four contests. The previous two meetings between these teams produced totals of 171 and 158 points, and Connecticut’s defensive struggles continue to create favorable scoring opportunities for opponents. With both teams searching for momentum, the over looks like the stronger option here.
Final Score Prediction: Seattle Storm 86 – Connecticut Sun 82
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