Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction for Wednesday May 20 2026
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The Connecticut Sun travel to face the Seattle Storm on Wednesday May 20, 2026, at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET with television coverage available on WNBA League Pass and CW Seattle. Seattle enters the matchup as a 3.5-point favorite with the Storm listed at -175 on the moneyline while Connecticut comes in at +145. The total for the game is set at 165.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Connecticut Trying to Snap Early Losing Streak
The Sun enter this matchup with an 0-5 overall record and an 0-2 road record. Connecticut recently lost to Portland 83-82 in a close contest after previously recently losing to Las Vegas by scores of 101-94 and 98-69. The Sun also recently lost to Seattle 89-82 and New York 106-75 during this difficult opening stretch. Despite the losing streak, Connecticut has remained competitive in a few recent games, including the one-point loss to Portland in its latest outing.
Connecticut is averaging 80.4 points per game while allowing 95.4 points against per contest. The Sun are shooting 41 percent from the field while averaging 33.2 rebounds and 20.4 assists per game. Defensively, Connecticut averages 3.2 blocks and 7.6 steals per game. The Sun have shown some ability to move the basketball offensively, but defensive struggles have consistently placed pressure on the offense to keep pace.
One issue for Connecticut entering this matchup is defensive consistency. The Sun are allowing 95.4 points per game, which is the highest defensive number between these two teams. Connecticut has also allowed at least 83 points in four straight games. While the offense has shown flashes at times, the defensive side continues to be the biggest concern heading into this road matchup.
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Seattle Hoping to Build Off Earlier Win Over Connecticut
Seattle enters Wednesday night with a 1-3 overall record and an 0-1 home record. The Storm recently lost to Indiana 89-78 and Toronto 86-73 after recently winning over Connecticut 89-82 earlier this month. Seattle also recently lost to Golden State 91-80 before opening the season with a 91-81 victory over Portland. The Storm have struggled to string together wins consistently, but they already hold one victory over Connecticut entering this game.
Seattle is averaging 80.0 points per game while allowing 87.0 points against per contest. The Storm are shooting 42 percent from the field while averaging 31.3 rebounds and 16.3 assists per game. Defensively, Seattle averages 6.5 blocks and 7.3 steals per contest. The Storm have been slightly stronger defensively than Connecticut while also protecting the rim effectively through the early portion of the season.
One major strength for Seattle entering this matchup is shot protection and defensive balance. The Storm average 6.5 blocks per game, which is significantly higher than Connecticut’s 3.2 blocks per contest. Seattle also already defeated the Sun once this season by scoring 89 points in that matchup. If the Storm continue defending at a higher level while limiting Connecticut’s offensive rhythm, Seattle could control the game at home.
Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction
Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm Pick
- Pick: Seattle Storm -3.5
Seattle already owns a win over Connecticut this season and enters this matchup with the stronger defensive numbers overall. The Storm are allowing 87.0 points per game while Connecticut is allowing 95.4. Seattle has also shown stronger rim protection with 6.5 blocks per contest and now returns home against a Sun team still searching for its first win of the season. With Connecticut struggling defensively throughout the opening stretch, Seattle has the edge in this matchup.
Connecticut Sun vs Seattle Storm Total Pick
- Pick: Over 165.5
I like the over in this game because Connecticut’s defensive struggles have consistently pushed totals higher. The Sun are allowing more than 95 points per game and have recently played games finishing with totals of 165, 195, 167, and 181 points. Seattle also scored 89 points in the previous meeting between these teams. With both clubs capable of contributing offense and Connecticut continuing to struggle defensively, the total has a solid chance to move above the listed number.
Final Score Prediction: Seattle Storm 87 – Connecticut Sun 79
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