Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday September 22 2026
The WNBA picks slate features a lopsided matchup Tuesday night in Washington, as the Mystics look to strengthen their postseason position against a Connecticut team riding a five-game losing streak into the nation's capital.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Mystics -16.5 (-108)
- Total Pick: Over 159.5 (-112)
- Projected Final Score: Mystics 93, Sun 73
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Date | Connecticut | Washington | Total Over | Total Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/22 | +16.5 (-112) | -16.5 (-108) | 159.5 (-112) | 159.5 (-108) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Connecticut | Washington |
|---|---|---|
| 09/22 | +16.5 (-112) | -16.5 (-108) |
| 09/22 | +16.5 (-118) | -16.5 (-102) |
| 09/22 | +15.5 (-102) | -15.5 (-118) |
| 09/22 | +16.5 (-118) | -16.5 (-102) |
| 09/22 | +15.5 (-105) | -15.5 (-115) |
| 09/22 | +15.5 (-110) | -15.5 (-110) |
| 09/22 | +15.5 (-115) | -15.5 (-105) |
| 09/22 | +14.5 (-105) | -14.5 (-115) |
| 09/21 | +14.5 (-108) | -14.5 (-112) |
| 09/21 | +14.5 (-110) | -14.5 (-110) |
| 09/21 | +14.5 (-108) | -14.5 (-112) |
| 09/21 | +14.5 (-112) | -14.5 (-108) |
| 09/21 | +13.5 (-105) | -13.5 (-115) |
| 09/21 | +13.5 (-110) | -13.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 09/22 | 159.5 (-112) | 159.5 (-108) |
| 09/22 | 159.5 (-105) | 159.5 (-115) |
| 09/22 | 158.5 (-115) | 158.5 (-105) |
| 09/21 | 158.5 (-110) | 158.5 (-110) |
Sun vs Mystics Key Matchups and Game Preview
Washington's Statistical Edge
Washington owns meaningful statistical advantages on both ends of the floor, averaging 83.7 points per game while allowing 82.8, compared with Connecticut scoring 78.7 and surrendering 88.5. The Mystics also shoot 45% from the field compared with Connecticut's 42% and hold a substantial 37.6-to-32.3 advantage in rebounds per game.
Austin Leads the Mystics Attack
Shakira Austin has led Washington offensively at 17.0 points per game, while Kiki Iriafen is averaging 9.6 rebounds and Sonia Citron leads the club with 4.4 assists. That balance across the box score has fueled Washington's recent surge in the standings.
Mystics Riding Momentum
Washington enters off impressive consecutive wins over Chicago and Indiana, including a 93-77 road victory over the Fever, while Connecticut most recently fell 101-89 against Minnesota. The Mystics have won their last two games by 30 and 16 points, respectively.
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Connecticut's Season Series Struggles
The Mystics have also won two of the first three meetings this season, taking an 88-81 decision in June and a 92-84 victory in Washington in July, while Connecticut's lone win came 68-57 on June 26. Washington enters at 26-16, while Connecticut sits at 10-32 and has dropped five consecutive contests.
Depleted Frontcourt for the Sun
Connecticut's five-game losing streak includes four defeats by at least 12 points, a stretch that reflects the club's reduced depth and difficulty keeping pace for four quarters. Losing key frontcourt pieces has been particularly damaging against a Washington team already holding a significant rebounding advantage.
CONN and WAS Betting Trends
Washington's two-game winning streak by a combined 46 points stands in sharp contrast to Connecticut's five-game skid, which has included four losses by 12 points or more. The market reflects that gap, with Washington favored by 16.5 points and the total sitting at 159.5, a substantial number that still leaves room for the Mystics to cover given their recent offensive form.
CONN and WAS Key Injuries and Things To Know
Sun Injury Report
Olivia Nelson-Ododa is out with a knee injury after averaging 10.1 points and a team-high 5.9 rebounds, Brittney Griner is also out with a knee issue, and guard Saniya Rivers is sidelined with an ankle injury. Kennedy Burke remains out for the season because of a shoulder injury.
Mystics Health Update
Washington enters this matchup at full strength relative to Connecticut's extensive absences, giving the Mystics a clear health advantage. Losing Nelson-Ododa and Griner is particularly damaging for the Sun against a Washington frontcourt already holding a significant rebounding advantage.
Sun vs Mystics Side and Over/Under Picks
- Side Pick: Mystics -16.5 (-108)
- Total Pick: Over 159.5 (-112)
With the Sun shorthanded and allowing nearly 89 points per game, Washington should have enough offensive opportunities to separate after halftime. Connecticut's depleted frontcourt and Washington's recent offensive form push toward the over on the total.
Final Score Prediction
- Washington Mystics: 93
- Connecticut Sun: 73
This projection supports both the spread and over picks, reflecting Washington's statistical edge and Connecticut's injury-riddled frontcourt heading into Tuesday night's matchup.
How to Wager On Sun vs Mystics
Bettors looking for additional tools to build out their card around this Sun vs Mystics matchup have several resources available. For data-driven projections and model-based picks, check out the AI picks hub. Those wanting a closer look at specific platforms can explore the Dimers review or the Oddible review for additional perspective before placing a wager on this Tuesday night matchup.
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