Dallas Wings vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction for Saturday May 9 2026
The Dallas Wings and Indiana Fever will meet on Saturday, May 9, 2026, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. Tip-off is scheduled for 1:00 PM, and the matchup will air on ABC and Disney+. Indiana enters the season opener as the home favorite with the Fever listed at -6.5 while the Wings come back at +6.5. The total for the game is set at 176.5 points. Be sure to check out all the WNBA action with our free WNBA picks.
Previous Game Recap
Indiana enters this matchup coming off a dominant 105-57 preseason victory over Nigeria. The Fever controlled the game from the opening quarter and never allowed Nigeria to settle offensively. Indiana built a massive lead early after scoring 32 points in the first quarter and followed it with a 38-point second period. The game turned into a comfortable showcase for Indiana as the Fever finished with a balanced offensive performance and efficient shooting throughout the afternoon.
Indiana received strong production from several players during the win. Kelsey Mitchell led the offensive effort with 17 points while shooting 6-for-9 from the field and connecting on all three of her attempts from beyond the arc. Caitlin Clark added 12 points along with four assists, and Sophie Cunningham contributed eight points with three assists. Damiris Dantas also gave Indiana an offensive spark off the bench with 16 points while Makayla Timpson scored 12 points on a perfect 5-for-5 shooting performance. The Fever finished the game shooting 54 percent from the floor and 45 percent from three-point range.
Dallas Looking to Carry Momentum Into Opening Day
Dallas enters the regular season opener with confidence after recently winning over Las Vegas by a 101-84 score in preseason action. The Wings also recently won over Indiana 95-80 on April 30 and closed last season with victories over Phoenix before recently losing to Los Angeles and Golden State. Dallas has opened the preseason with back-to-back victories and now heads into Indianapolis looking to continue that momentum on the road.
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The Wings showed offensive balance during their recent win over Las Vegas. Dallas shot 49 percent from the field and connected on 45 percent of its three-point attempts while also finishing with 24 assists. The Wings also controlled the paint and the glass effectively, grabbing 35 rebounds and forcing nine steals during the win. Dallas was able to generate scoring opportunities from throughout the rotation while maintaining strong ball movement.
One encouraging sign for Dallas has been the ability to spread scoring across multiple contributors. The Wings had several players reach double figures in the win over Las Vegas while also protecting the basketball effectively with only 14 turnovers. Dallas also recently defeated Indiana in preseason play by 15 points, which could provide confidence entering this matchup despite the difficult road environment awaiting them at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Indiana Opens the Year in Front of the Home Crowd
Indiana enters the new season after recently winning over Nigeria in dominant fashion while also posting a recent victory over New York before recently losing to Dallas and Las Vegas late last season. The Fever closed the previous campaign with an overtime loss to Las Vegas before responding with a strong win over the same opponent shortly before that. Indiana now returns home for the regular season opener looking to start fast in front of its fans.
The Fever were outstanding offensively in the preseason victory over Nigeria. Indiana shot 54 percent from the field, knocked down 14 three-pointers, and converted 90 percent of its free throw attempts. The Fever also distributed the ball extremely well with 26 assists while forcing 18 turnovers defensively. Indiana consistently pushed the pace and created quality looks throughout the game.
A major strength for Indiana entering this matchup is offensive efficiency. The Fever showed the ability to score from multiple areas of the floor while also receiving strong bench production in the preseason win. Indiana had several players contribute offensively and displayed strong depth throughout the rotation. After recently losing to Dallas during preseason action, the Fever will likely look to respond quickly in the home opener.
Dallas Wings vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction
Spread Pick
- Indiana Fever -6.5
Indiana looked extremely sharp offensively during the preseason victory over Nigeria and now returns home for the regular season opener at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Fever shot efficiently from both the field and beyond the arc while also showing strong ball movement with 26 assists. Dallas recently defeated Indiana in preseason play, but the Fever responded immediately afterward with an explosive offensive performance. Indiana also enters this matchup favored heavily by ESPN Analytics, which gives the Fever a 70.8 percent chance to win the game. Playing at home should help Indiana settle into the opener and control the pace offensively.
Total Pick
- Over 176.5
Both teams showed the ability to score consistently during preseason play. Dallas scored 101 points against Las Vegas while Indiana posted 105 points against Nigeria. The Wings shot 49 percent from the floor in their last game while Indiana shot 54 percent in its most recent performance. Both teams also demonstrated strong three-point shooting numbers in preseason action, which could create another high-scoring matchup. With both offenses entering the opener in rhythm, the lean is toward the over.
Final Score Prediction: Indiana Fever 92 – Dallas Wings 84
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