Golden State Valkyries vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction for Friday May 22 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/22/2026, 12:45 AM ET
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The Golden State Valkyries travel to Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana, for a Friday night matchup against the Indiana Fever on May 22, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET with coverage available on ION and WNBA League Pass. Indiana enters the game as a 7.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -298, while Golden State is listed at +240. The total for the matchup is set at 168.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Valkyries Looking to Stay Competitive on the Road

Golden State enters this matchup with a 2-1 overall record and a 1-0 road mark this season. The Valkyries recently lost to Chicago 69-63 after previously recently won over Phoenix 95-79 and Seattle 91-80. Earlier in the season, Golden State also recently won over Seattle 78-76 before recently lost to Minnesota 75-74 dating back to September. The Valkyries have won three of their last five games overall and have shown strong defensive stretches during much of that run.

Golden State is averaging 83.0 points per game while allowing 76.0 points per contest. The Valkyries are shooting 40 percent from the field while averaging 35.7 rebounds and 19.0 assists per game. Defensively, Golden State has been productive with 6.0 blocks and 6.0 steals per contest, helping the team remain competitive even when the offense slows down.

One of the biggest strengths for Golden State has been defense. The Valkyries are allowing only 76.0 points per game, which is significantly lower than Indiana’s defensive average entering this matchup. Golden State has also already defeated Seattle twice this season and has consistently stayed within reach in lower-scoring contests.

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Fever Carrying Momentum Into Friday Night

Indiana enters this game with a 3-2 overall record and a 2-2 home mark this season. The Fever recently won over Portland 90-73 and Seattle 89-78 after previously recently lost to Washington 104-102 in overtime. Before that loss, Indiana recently won over Los Angeles 87-78 but also recently lost to Dallas 107-104. The Fever have won three of their last five games and enter this matchup following consecutive victories.

Indiana is averaging 94.4 points per game while allowing 88.0 points per contest. The Fever are shooting 46 percent from the field while averaging 32.8 rebounds and 22.4 assists per game. Defensively, Indiana has recorded 7.0 steals and 4.0 blocks per contest while continuing to play at a fast offensive pace.

One major strength for Indiana has been offensive efficiency. The Fever are averaging more than 94 points per game while shooting 46 percent from the field, both higher than Golden State entering this matchup. Indiana has also scored at least 87 points in four of its five games this season, showing the ability to consistently create offense.

Golden State Valkyries vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction

Golden State Valkyries vs Indiana Fever Pick

  • Pick: Indiana Fever -7.5

Indiana enters this matchup with the stronger offensive profile and appears to be gaining momentum after consecutive victories over Portland and Seattle. The Fever are averaging more than 94 points per game while shooting 46 percent from the field, and they have consistently played well offensively at home despite a split record there. Golden State has been solid defensively, but the Valkyries scored only 63 points in the recent loss against Chicago. With Indiana continuing to produce offense consistently, the Fever look capable of covering the spread Friday night.

Golden State Valkyries vs Indiana Fever Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 168.5

I believe this game leans toward the over because Indiana has consistently been involved in higher-scoring matchups this season. The Fever have scored 90, 89, 102, 87, and 104 points in five recent games, while Golden State has also shown the ability to contribute offensively with 95 and 91 points in recent victories. Indiana’s fast offensive pace combined with efficient shooting numbers creates a favorable setup for another game that pushes beyond the total.

Final Score Prediction: Indiana Fever 92 – Golden State Valkyries 80

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