Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Saturday June 13 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/13/2026, 12:05 AM ET

The Indiana Fever travel to face the Connecticut Sun in a WNBA Commissioner's Cup matchup on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00 PM ET at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut. The game will be televised on Peacock, NBCSN, and WTHR Channel 13. Indiana enters as a 10.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -600, while Connecticut is listed at +440. The total for the game is set at 171.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Finding Momentum on the Road

Indiana enters this contest with a 7-5 overall record and a 2-3 mark on the road. The Fever have won three of their last five games, including recent victories over Chicago, Washington, and Atlanta. Their most recent outing resulted in a 114-106 overtime win against Chicago, while they also recently won a close 78-76 road game against Washington. During this stretch, Indiana recently lost to New York and Portland but has generally been trending in a positive direction.

The Fever have been one of the stronger offensive teams in the league, averaging 90.3 points per game. They are also shooting 45% from the field while collecting 34.0 rebounds and 21.2 assists per contest. Defensively, Indiana is allowing 87.3 points per game. The team also contributes 4.3 blocks and 6.8 steals per game.

The biggest strength for Indiana is its offensive production. The Fever average more than 90 points per game and have topped 80 points in four of their last five contests. Their ability to score efficiently while also generating over 21 assists per game has helped them remain competitive against some of the league's toughest opponents.

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Connecticut Searching for Answers

Connecticut comes into this matchup with a 2-12 overall record and a 1-4 home record. The Sun have lost four straight games and have dropped four of their last five overall. Connecticut recently lost to Toronto in overtime by a 106-102 score and also recently lost to New York, Chicago, and Atlanta. Their lone victory during the last five games came against Los Angeles by an 84-81 margin.

The Sun are averaging 78.1 points per game while shooting 42% from the field. They are collecting 34.1 rebounds and 18.4 assists per contest. Defensively, Connecticut has allowed 89.4 points per game. The Sun also average 4.2 blocks and 8.0 steals, showing an ability to create turnovers despite their struggles in the standings.

One area working against Connecticut is the scoring differential. The Sun average 78.1 points per game while allowing 89.4 points per contest. That gap has made it difficult to close out games consistently, especially against opponents capable of producing high-scoring performances.

Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction

Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun Pick

  • Pick: Indiana Fever -10.5

Indiana enters with the better record, the stronger offense, and the higher matchup predictor percentage. The Fever are averaging more than 12 points per game more than Connecticut and have won three of their last five games. Connecticut has lost four consecutive contests and is allowing nearly 90 points per game. Based strictly on the numbers provided, Indiana appears to have a significant advantage entering this matchup.

Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 171.5

I like the over in this game. Indiana averages 90.3 points per game while Connecticut allows 89.4 points per contest. The Fever just played a game that finished with 220 combined points in overtime, while Connecticut's most recent game produced 208 combined points. With both teams involved in several recent high-scoring contests, the over looks appealing.

Final Score Prediction: Indiana Fever 93 – Connecticut Sun 80

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