Indiana Fever vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction for Thursday May 28 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/28/2026, 12:10 AM ET
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The Indiana Fever head west to face the Golden State Valkyries on Thursday night at Chase Center in San Francisco, California. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET with coverage available on Prime Video. Both teams enter the matchup with identical 4-2 records, although Indiana is 1-0 on the road while Golden State holds a 2-1 home record. The betting odds currently list Indiana as a slight 1.5-point favorite with the total sitting at 169.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Fever Carry Momentum Into West Coast Matchup

Indiana enters this contest with a 4-2 overall record and has started the season well both offensively and defensively. The Fever recently won over Golden State 90-82 in their previous meeting and have now won four of their last five games overall. During that stretch, Indiana also recently won over Portland, Seattle, and Los Angeles while recently losing to Washington in overtime. The Fever have continued to show offensive consistency throughout this strong stretch.

The Fever are averaging 93.7 points per game this season, which is one of the stronger offensive outputs among the teams involved in Thursday’s slate. Indiana has also averaged 22.3 assists while shooting 46 percent from the field. Defensively, the Fever are allowing 87.0 points per game while recording 7.0 steals and 3.7 blocks. The offensive production has been especially impressive considering Indiana has scored at least 87 points in every game listed over its last five contests.

One major strength for Indiana entering this matchup is the team’s offensive rhythm. The Fever have scored 90 points in back-to-back games and continue to move the ball effectively with more than 22 assists per contest. Indiana also already holds a recent victory over Golden State, which could provide confidence entering another meeting between these teams.

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Golden State Hoping to Bounce Back at Home

Golden State also enters this matchup with a 4-2 record and has played well at home with a 2-1 mark at Chase Center. The Valkyries recently won over Connecticut 97-70 and have won three of their last five games overall. During that stretch, Golden State recently won over Connecticut, New York, and Phoenix while recently losing to Indiana and Chicago. The recent 97-point performance against Connecticut showed the offensive upside this team can bring into home games.

The Valkyries are averaging 85.8 points per game while allowing only 76.3 points against this season. Golden State has also averaged 34.3 rebounds and 18.3 assists while shooting 40 percent from the field. Defensively, the Valkyries have been impressive, allowing fewer than 77 points per game while also averaging 4.3 blocks. That defensive consistency has helped keep Golden State competitive throughout most of the early season.

One of the biggest strengths for Golden State entering this matchup is its defense. The Valkyries are allowing only 76.3 points per game, which is significantly lower than Indiana’s defensive average. Golden State also showed its defensive ability in the recent 97-70 victory over Connecticut and the 87-70 road win over New York. If the Valkyries can slow down Indiana’s fast-paced offense, this could become a very competitive matchup late into the game.

Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction

Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries Pick

  • Pick: Indiana Fever -1.5

Indiana already recently won over Golden State 90-82 and enters this matchup with strong offensive momentum after winning four of its last five games. The Fever are averaging 93.7 points per game and continue to score consistently regardless of opponent. Golden State has played well defensively, but Indiana’s offensive production and recent success in this matchup make the Fever the preferred side here.

Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 169.5

I lean toward the over in this matchup because both teams have recently shown the ability to score efficiently. Indiana has scored 90 points in consecutive games, while Golden State recently exploded for 97 points against Connecticut. Even though the Valkyries have been strong defensively overall, both offenses are entering this game with confidence and momentum. With two teams averaging a combined 179.5 points per game, the over looks like the stronger option.

Final Score Prediction: Fever 91 – Valkyries 84

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